Champ Week Bracketology 3.7.21

ericd7633

ericd7633

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Region #1

1. GONZAGA(WCC)
16. NORTH CAROLINA A&T(SWAC)/HARTFORD(AM. EAST)

8. Connecticut
9. Wisconsin

5. USC
12. WESTERN KENTUCKY(CUSA)

4. Texas
13. WINTHROP(BIG SOUTH)

6. Oklahoma
11. UCLA

3. Arkansas
14. GEORGIA STATE(SUN BELT)

7. SAN DIEGO STATE(MWC)
10. North Carolina

2. Ohio State
15. SOUTHERN UTAH(BIG SKY)

Region #2

1. BAYLOR(BIG 12)
16. NICHOLLS STATE(SOUTHLAND)/PRAIRIE VIEW A&M(MEAC)

8. LSU
9. SAINT BONAVENTURE(A-10)

5. VIRGINIA(ACC)
12. Drake/Boise State

4. Purdue
13. TOLEDO(MAC)

6. Texas Tech
11. VCU

3. VILLANONA(BIG EAST)
14. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE(SUMMIT)

7. BYU
10. WICHITA STATE(AAC)

2. Iowa
15. BRYANT(NEC)

Region #3

1. MICHIGAN(B1G)
16. NORTHEASTERN(CAA)

8. Missouri
9. LOYOLA-CHICAGO(MVC)

5. OREGON(PAC 12)
12. UC-SANTA BARBARA(BIG WEST)

4. Kansas
13. LIBERTY(ASUN)

6. Tennessee
11. Michigan State

3. West Virginia
14. MOREHEAD STATE(OVC)

7. Virginia Tech
10. Maryland

2. Houston
15. GRAND CANYON(WAC)

Region #4

1. Illinois
16. CLEVELAND STATE(HORIZON)

8. Florida
9. Louisville

5. Creighton
12. Colorado State/Ole Miss

4. Florida State
13. UNC-GREENSBORO(SO. CON)

6. Colorado
11. Georgia Tech

3. Oklahoma State
14. COLGATE(PATRIOT)

7. Clemson
10. Rutgers

2. ALABAMA(SEC)
15. SIENA(MAAC)
 
Top 10 on “S” Curve: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Alabama, Houston, Ohio State, Arkansas, West Virginia
Last 4 BYES: UCLA, VCU, Michigan State, Georgia Tech
Last 4 IN: Drake, Colorado State, Ole Miss, Boise State
First 4 OUT: Utah State, Xavier, Syracuse, Seton Hall
Nest 4 OUT: St. John’s, Memphis, St. Louis, Providence
BOLD = AQ
 
The Quadrant System is as follows:

Quadrant 1 (Q1): Home (1-30)Neutral (1-50)Away (1-75)
Quadrant 2 (Q2): Home (31-75)Neutral (51-100)Away (76-135)
Quadrant 3 (Q3): Home (76-160)Neutral (101-200)Away (136-240)
Quadrant 4 (Q4): Home (161-357)Neutral (201-357)Away (241-357)
 
That's a great draw for Iowa. I hope you're right lol
 
rmilia1 said:
That's a great draw for Iowa. I hope you're right lol
Click to expand...

Iowa/BYU would be fun as hell if it happens, but yes, that's a good draw for Iowa with Nova injuries, plus, they are the worst 3 seed as well.
 
rmilia1 said:
That's a great draw for Iowa. I hope you're right lol
Click to expand...

I didnt even know fucking Byu was supposed to make the tournament.

That teams sucks
 
Mr.Hockey said:
I didnt even know fucking Byu was supposed to make the tournament.

That teams sucks
Click to expand...
They are pretty safely in. They aren't great, but they are top 30 in everything, and they are 7-5 in Q1/Q2.
 
This year is going to be a fair amount of guesswork for certain teams relative to normal years. For instance Lunardi has Loyola as an 8 while Palm has them as a 12. I'm going to say the committee gives them 'closer' to what they deserve and they end up on the 6 line. TBH I think they deserve to be on the 4/5 line.

I also think the SEC teams will be a little higher. They did well OOC, so Missouri will be a higher seed I think. Tennessee may be as high as a 5.

By the same token, I think they'll have the BE teams a little lower, Creighton may be as low as a 7.

By the numbers, UConn is a reasonable 8/9 but if Gonzaga drew them, they'd have plenty reason to be pissed.
 
So you believe Wichita will be in, even if they don’t win the conference tournament?
 
Power Conferences:

ACC:
Florida State - 4 seed
Virginia - 5 seed
Virginia Tech - 7 seed
Clemson - 7 seed
Louisville - 9 seed
North Carolina - 10 seed
Georgia Tech - 11 seed
Syracuse - First Four Out

Big 12:
Baylor - 1 seed
West Virginia - 3 seed
Oklahoma State - 3 seed
Texas - 4 seed
Kansas - 4 seed
Oklahoma - 6 seed
Texas Tech - 6 seed

Big East:
Villanova - 3 seed
Creighton - 5 seed
UConn - 8 seed
Xavier - First Four Out
Seton Hall - First Four Out
St. John's - Next Four Out
Providence - Next Four Out

Big Ten:
Michigan - 1 seed
Illinois - 1 seed
Ohio State - 2 seed
Iowa - 2 seed
Purdue - 4 seed
Wisconsin - 9 seed
Rutgers - 10 seed
Maryland - 10 seed
Michigan State - 11 seed

PAC 12:
USC - 5 seed
Oregon - 5 seed
Colorado - 6 seed
UCLA - 11 seed

SEC:
Alabama - 2 seed
Arkansas - 3 seed
Tennessee - 6 seed
LSU - 8 seed
Missouri - 8 seed
Florida - 8 seed
Ole Miss - 12 seed

Mid Majors with multiple bids:

AAC:
Houston - 2 seed
Wichita State - 10 seed
Memphis - Next Four Out

A10:
St. Bonaventure - 9 seed
VCU - 11 seed
St. Louis - Next Four Out

MVC:
Loyola Chicago - 9 seed
Drake - 12 seed

MWC:
San Diego State - 7 seed
Boise State - 12 seed
Colorado State - 12 seed
Utah State - First Four Out

WCC:
Gonzaga - 1 seed
BYU - 7 seed
 
duckboy33 said:
So you believe Wichita will be in, even if they don’t win the conference tournament?
Click to expand...

Yes, I think they will. I'm really only basing it on historical precedent though. They are the outright winner of a top 7 league. A team with that distinction has never missed the tournament before. The problem with that though is that this isn't a normal season and they were helped immensely by an unbalanced schedule, due to cancelations. They are very similar to what Temple was in 2016. Bad metrics, relatively speaking(temple was 69 in RPI and KenPom was in the 80's on Selection Sunday) and still made it. They are difficult though because they only played 17 games against D1 competition.
 
ericd7633 said:
Yes, I think they will. I'm really only basing it on historical precedent though. They are the outright winner of a top 7 league. A team with that distinction has never missed the tournament before. The problem with that though is that this isn't a normal season and they were helped immensely by an unbalanced schedule, due to cancelations. They are very similar to what Temple was in 2016. Bad metrics, relatively speaking(temple was 69 in RPI and KenPom was in the 80's on Selection Sunday) and still made it. They are difficult though because they only played 17 games against D1 competition.
Click to expand...

Solid reasoning. I won’t argue with that. I just wonder if the AAC is a top 7 league this year
 
jontaejones said:
This year is going to be a fair amount of guesswork for certain teams relative to normal years. For instance Lunardi has Loyola as an 8 while Palm has them as a 12. I'm going to say the committee gives them 'closer' to what they deserve and they end up on the 6 line. TBH I think they deserve to be on the 4/5 line.

I also think the SEC teams will be a little higher. They did well OOC, so Missouri will be a higher seed I think. Tennessee may be as high as a 5.

By the same token, I think they'll have the BE teams a little lower, Creighton may be as low as a 7.

By the numbers, UConn is a reasonable 8/9 but if Gonzaga drew them, they'd have plenty reason to be pissed.
Click to expand...

Yeah, there is a lot of uncertainty this year. I always try and base my projections on precedent, but this year's is unprecedent. Lol. I think Loyola will be in the 8/9. If I were doing it I'd probably have them a 6/7 though.

Great call on uconn. They are going to be under seeded based on how good they are with a healthy Bouknight. With him they are probably a top 20 team. I wouldn't want to be the #1/#2 seed that's in their draw.
 
duckboy33 said:
Solid reasoning. I won’t argue with that. I just wonder if the AAC is a top 7 league this year
Click to expand...

According to the NET they are 7th. That's certainly debatable, I agree. But that's where the conference is as of now.
 
Yoga≈Surfing said:
It seems Georgetown may have been erroneously overlooked in here.

The Hoyas are Big East champs after they demolished Creighton earlier today.
Click to expand...

This update was from March 7th, which was before the Big East tournament started.
 
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