Arkansas, Ole Miss, Nebraska, and Tennessee

This thread delivers…. I mean if we’re going to dream, let’s Dream big. I’m going to go with Tennessee doesn’t see a 10 win season for the next 10 years. LOL

Nothing sucks like the big orange
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
I am not sure which is funnier ... they think we will give up 34 points with our D, or that we will only score 31 on your D. We are at home. We have the equivalent of a bye week the week before with UF. SMH.
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I hope the UGA Football team takes this mentality.
 
Volbound1700 said:
Reasonable expectations for Nebraska can be 10-11 wins and B1G West titles.
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Cracking Up Lol GIF
 
Volbound1700 said:
I hope the UGA Football team takes this mentality.
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You know that Smart will have them ready.

Here is why I typed what I typed ... I'd be glad for you to show me, with facts, where my conclusion is wrong.

Since 2017, Smart's 2nd year:

On D:

UGA has given up an average of 15.68 points, meaning you would have to score more than 19 points (3 TDs) more than we've given up on average in the last 5 years. The highest it has been was 19.2 points per game (2018) and the lowest was 10.2 points per game (2021).

We have given up 34 or more points in 8 of 68 games (11.7%) and we gave those up to Bama (3), OU, Auburn, UF, LSU (2). 4 of the 8 games were against the ultimate NC, and 1 against a CFP team. That means unless we are playing a NC or CFP team, or another team that is top 10, we don't give up 34 points.

To dig further, we only gave up more than 21 points 15 times in 68 games (22%). That means 78% of the time we have held teams under 21 points.

On O:

UGA has averaged 35 points per game, a number I think will surprise those who see us as a defensive team. That is with us pretty much shutting down the O in the 4th quarter in most years.

In 68 games, we've scored less than 21 points only 7 times (10.2%). 60% of the time we've scored 31 points or more, scoring more than 40 points 27 times.

So, the idea that we would score 24 points is highly unlikely, especially when we are returning a better O this year than last.

The kicker - in those 5 years against UTjr:

41-17
44-21
43-14
38-12
41-0

Cumulative score of 206-64
Average score of 41 - 13

I think you can see why I am laughing at someone saying you will beat us, at home, 34-24.

Rank
YearGamesRankSOSSRS
201715282
201814763
2019144126
2020*107123
202115181
Defense
PPGRank<= 1011-2021-30 +> 30*+*
16.46742 (28, 26)2 (40, 48)Mizzou, BamaAuburn, OU
19.215254 (29,27,21,28)2 ( 36,35)Mizzou, Umass, GaTech, TexasLSU, Bama
12.615801 (37)LSU
2017323 (21,24,21)2 (41, 44)UTjr, MSU, CincyBama, UF
10.219401 (41)Bama
Offense
PPGRank< 2020 - 3031- 40> 40
35.4201437
37.9141337
30.8503704
32.3381423
38.691266
 
Thiefery said:
View attachment 78009
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Schedule is BAH RUTAL!

SEC/National champ, perennial SEC/National champ, ACC champ, 2019 National champ…

And UT lost some talent off of last years team so.. could potentially be a rough year TBH.
Agree with @Volbound1700 10 wins would be a great year but 7 may well happen again and it would still be a successful year all things considered, JH is building his program, it’s gonna take time.

Nebraska is very interesting this year IMO. Losing 764 games by a TD or less CANT happen again can it?
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
You know that Smart will have them ready.

Here is why I typed what I typed ... I'd be glad for you to show me, with facts, where my conclusion is wrong.

Since 2017, Smart's 2nd year:

On D:

UGA has given up an average of 15.68 points, meaning you would have to score more than 19 points (3 TDs) more than we've given up on average in the last 5 years. The highest it has been was 19.2 points per game (2018) and the lowest was 10.2 points per game (2021).

We have given up 34 or more points in 8 of 68 games (11.7%) and we gave those up to Bama (3), OU, Auburn, UF, LSU (2). 4 of the 8 games were against the ultimate NC, and 1 against a CFP team. That means unless we are playing a NC or CFP team, or another team that is top 10, we don't give up 34 points.

To dig further, we only gave up more than 21 points 15 times in 68 games (22%). That means 78% of the time we have held teams under 21 points.

On O:

UGA has averaged 35 points per game, a number I think will surprise those who see us as a defensive team. That is with us pretty much shutting down the O in the 4th quarter in most years.

In 68 games, we've scored less than 21 points only 7 times (10.2%). 60% of the time we've scored 31 points or more, scoring more than 40 points 27 times.

So, the idea that we would score 24 points is highly unlikely, especially when we are returning a better O this year than last.

The kicker - in those 5 years against UTjr:

41-17
44-21
43-14
38-12
41-0

Cumulative score of 206-64
Average score of 41 - 13

I think you can see why I am laughing at someone saying you will beat us, at home, 34-24.

Rank
YearGamesRankSOSSRS
201715282
201814763
2019144126
2020*107123
202115181
Defense
PPGRank<= 1011-2021-30 +> 30*+*
16.46742 (28, 26)2 (40, 48)Mizzou, BamaAuburn, OU
19.215254 (29,27,21,28)2 ( 36,35)Mizzou, Umass, GaTech, TexasLSU, Bama
12.615801 (37)LSU
2017323 (21,24,21)2 (41, 44)UTjr, MSU, CincyBama, UF
10.219401 (41)Bama
Offense
PPGRank< 2020 - 3031- 40> 40
35.4201437
37.9141337
30.8503704
32.3381423
38.691266
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Stats are throw out the window with kids, they are not robots.

Florida is NEVER a gemmy for you guys.
 
Volbound1700 said:
Stats are throw out the window with kids, they are not robots.

Florida is NEVER a gemmy for you guys.
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As to your second sentence, get a sense of humor. That was obviously a dig at any UF fans here. I've been going to the WLOCP for over 50 years. I know it's not a bye week.

No, when you see stats like that for the last 5 years, you have to show me something that will make our stats not apply - something like you have a great defense now, or your offense is going to be a juggernaut - to "throw them out the window." Otherwise, it's an absurd prediction.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
As to your second sentence, get a sense of humor. That was obviously a dig at any UF fans here. I've been going to the WLOCP for over 50 years. I know it's not a bye week.

No, when you see stats like that for the last 5 years, you have to show me something that will make our stats not apply - something like you have a great defense now, or your offense is going to be a juggernaut - to "throw them out the window." Otherwise, it's an absurd prediction.
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I don't think Tennessee will beat you, I think UF has a better shot than Tennessee to upset Georgia. Frankly, you guys should roll easily to SEC East Division Title.
 
This law dog mother fucker throwing out spreadsheets and shit. LOL so funny watching the transition of his shit team go from a lifelong perennial loser to a Champion*

*didn't even win conference
 
Gatorchip said:
This law dog mother fucker throwing out spreadsheets and shit. LOL so funny watching the transition of his shit team go from a lifelong perennial loser to a Champion*

*didn't even win conference
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LOL - “Lifelong” says the Gator fan that won their first SEC championship in 1991 and was relevant for 17 years from 91-08, irrelevant the rest of “lifelong.” That word doesn’t mean what you think it means.

Your time would be better spent helping your new coach Slingblade learn how to recruit.
 
Volbound1700 said:
I think he overvalues Ole Miss a little and under values Nebraska. Reasonable expectations for Nebraska can be 10-11 wins and B1G West titles.
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Once USC & UCLA join the B1G in a couple years there won't be a B1G West nor East.... the B1G will probably go divisionless so that each team will be able to play all 15 conference opponents in a two year span by playing 9 conference games and protecting 3 annual permanent rivals using a 3---6-6 format.
 
Innermind said:
Once USC & UCLA join the B1G in a couple years there won't be a B1G West nor East.... the B1G will probably go divisionless so that each team will be able to play all 15 conference opponents in a two year span by playing 9 conference games and protecting 3 annual permanent rivals using a 3---6-6 format.
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True. SEC is heading in same direction. I guess my point is that the video in the OP sold Nebraska a little short. I just don't see why Nebraska cannot be at the same level as Wisconsin (he references Iowa but I think Wisconsin is a better team to consider).

I don't see Nebraska getting back to 1990s level but I can see them being a competitive program again.
 
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