OFFICIALLY GAME WEEK! OREGON takes down georgia

no what we are saying is just because Vegas or the talking heads say it doesnt make it so. wasnt everyone calling Nebraska a sure win over Northwestern?
No. Vegas isnt making a number solely based on what they think is going to happen. They make a number based on where the bets are going to come in, and try to get equal action on both sides, or slant the number based on how the money comes in. they arent trying to actually always determine what the out come is going to be.
 
No. Vegas isnt making a number solely based on what they think is going to happen. They make a number based on where the bets are going to come in, and try to get equal action on both sides, or slant the number based on how the money comes in. they arent trying to actually always determine what the out come is going to be.
This has been explained to him many times over the years. He just doesn't get it.
 
This has been explained to him many times over the years. He just doesn't get it.
"VEGAS SAID!!!!" I dont get it. vegas isnt doing a prediction TV show weekly to put out the winners of games.
 
no what we are saying is just because Vegas or the talking heads say it doesnt make it so. wasnt everyone calling Nebraska a sure win over Northwestern?
The lines put out by vegas is to try and get as close to 50/50 betting as they can get. If they set the line of the Oregon/Georgia game as a pick'em -- all the money would be bet on Georgia. So they try to find a line to set where people will bet on Oregon too.

If it opened at 14 (I don't know what the line actually is -- I'd guess it is in the 17-20 range, but i will say 14 for this example) -- and at 14 overwhelming majority of the money was being bet on Georgia. Guess what happens. The line will go to 14.5, 15, 16, etc. until the books start seeing more money going on Oregon.

The spread is nothing more than an educated guess to where the books believe they will get equal action from both sides. The last thing the books want is to have all the money to be on one side or the other.
 
no what we are saying is just because Vegas or the talking heads say it doesnt make it so. wasnt everyone calling Nebraska a sure win over Northwestern?
And no offense, but Nebraska is a train wreck. Comparing them to Georgia is a slap in the face to Georgia. Could Oregon beat Georgia? Sure, if Georgia's plane breaks down and they have to forfeit.
 
No. Vegas isnt making a number solely based on what they think is going to happen. They make a number based on where the bets are going to come in, and try to get equal action on both sides, or slant the number based on how the money comes in. they arent trying to actually always determine what the out come is going to be.

This has been explained to him many times over the years. He just doesn't get it.

"VEGAS SAID!!!!" I dont get it. vegas isnt doing a prediction TV show weekly to put out the winners of games.

The lines put out by vegas is to try and get as close to 50/50 betting as they can get. If they set the line of the Oregon/Georgia game as a pick'em -- all the money would be bet on Georgia. So they try to find a line to set where people will bet on Oregon too.

If it opened at 14 (I don't know what the line actually is -- I'd guess it is in the 17-20 range, but i will say 14 for this example) -- and at 14 overwhelming majority of the money was being bet on Georgia. Guess what happens. The line will go to 14.5, 15, 16, etc. until the books start seeing more money going on Oregon.

The spread is nothing more than an educated guess to where the books believe they will get equal action from both sides. The last thing the books want is to have all the money to be on one side or the other.
i like how you all also ignore the part where i mention talking heads (analysts, reporters)
 
Yeah I’m bored.


All-time records, according to a site called m.cubed.

UGA vs PAC12: 10-4-1
Oregon vs SEC: 4-6
PAC12 vs SEC: 45-75-5
 
Yeah I’m bored.


All-time records, according to a site called m.cubed.

UGA vs PAC12: 10-4-1
Oregon vs SEC: 4-6
PAC12 vs SEC: 45-75-5
UGA is 0-3 against USC. They haven’t played since the 60’s. They also lost to Colorado in that train wreck of a 2010 season
 
Yeah I’m bored.


All-time records, according to a site called m.cubed.

UGA vs PAC12: 10-4-1
Oregon vs SEC: 4-6
PAC12 vs SEC: 45-75-5
But I looked it up at a more familiar site. It’s 11-5-1 vs the Pac.

18009B70-1806-4810-B31A-4FF3C8E44018.jpeg
 
Yeah I’m bored.


All-time records, according to a site called m.cubed.

UGA vs PAC12: 10-4-1
Oregon vs SEC: 4-6
PAC12 vs SEC: 45-75-5
I noticed this past weekend for one of the games they were hyping the Jexas Vs Bama game, and listed the All Time head to head record for the matchup...Bama is 1-7-1 against Jexas. Just proof that historical records don't mean much, but when the TV heads are trying to make a lopsided matchup look good they will find a stat to make it look interesting.
 
No. Vegas isnt making a number solely based on what they think is going to happen. They make a number based on where the bets are going to come in, and try to get equal action on both sides, or slant the number based on how the money comes in. they arent trying to actually always determine what the out come is going to be.
Yep, it's not hard to understand and so misunderstood. Vegas ... bookies in general both legal and not ... makes their money on the VIG. They don't give a shit if the spread was 50 on a one point game as long as the money is split 50-50.
 
Yep, it's not hard to understand and so misunderstood. Vegas ... bookies in general both legal and not ... makes their money on the VIG. They don't give a shit if the spread was 50 on a one point game as long as the money is split 50-50.
Which is why they need bigger money coming in late when the line has somewhat settled. It's why I could clean up if the Orioles somehow win the World Series.
 
But I looked it up at a more familiar site. It’s 11-5-1 vs the Pac.

View attachment 83223

Winsipedia’s a really cool site, but I take their stats/records with a grain of salt.

Colorado wasn’t a Pac12 team when that series was played, yet winsipedia is still counting it. Lazy.
 
@OregonDucks lets see the screenshot of your game bet up here before kickoff. You going small on that? Staying around $100, or are you really backing those words with some real cheddar$
 
a site called m.cubed.

Apparently ND is on a road game W streak. 10 straight. Never even knew that. Lulz.

It’d be pretty funny if OHST ended up being #11. :plotting:
 
So many missed the ref. A few select know the best cartoon series in history.
I have every episode of Aqua Teen Hunger Force on my DVR other than the one where Master Shake is bitten by a radioactive black man since I'm pretty sure they removed it for woke reasons. That's hands down the best cartoon series in history, and gifs from ATHF are the only acceptable gifs to ever be posted anywhere.

tonight GIF
 
I have every episode of Aqua Teen Hunger Force on my DVR other than the one where Master Shake is bitten by a radioactive black man since I'm pretty sure they removed it for woke reasons. That's hands down the best cartoon series in history, and gifs from ATHF are the only acceptable gifs to ever be posted anywhere.

tonight GIF
Animated videos are not cartoons. Sue me.
 
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