tOfficial PAC-12 Thread

[duckboy33]

Week 11 Lines:

Colorado at USC (-34)
Arizona State at Washington State (-9)
Washington at Oregon (-12.5)
California at Oregon State (-13.5)
Stanford at Utah (-23)
Arizona at UCLA (-19.5)

USC 49 Colorado 14
Washington State 31 Arizona State 21
Oregon 37 Washington 27
Oregon State 34 California 17
Utah 42 Stanford 17
UCLA 49 Arizona 21

UCLA is my best ATS bet this week

 

[OlyDuck]

USC 49 Colorado 14
Washington State 31 Arizona State 21
Oregon 37 Washington 27
Oregon State 34 California 17
Utah 42 Stanford 17
UCLA 49 Arizona 21

UCLA is my best ATS bet this week

Oregon has scored at least 40 points in every game besides game 1. im not sure UW has the defense to end that.

 

[duckboy33]

Oregon has scored at least 40 points in every game besides game 1. im not sure UW has the defense to end that.

UW is also better than most of those teams. Oregon might get 40, I’m only projecting them off by 3

 

[OlyDuck]

UW is also better than most of those teams. Oregon might get 40, I’m only projecting them off by 3

not better than UCLA
their defense isnt really great
i think Oregon scores in the 40s again.
i also think UW's offense vs oregon's defense is gonna get them in the 30s.

 

[Wizardhawk]

not better than UCLA
their defense isnt really great
i think Oregon scores in the 40s again.
i also think UW's offense vs oregon's defense is gonna get them in the 30s.

UW has been bad on the road. Penix will probably turn it over twice. Mid 20's is more likely.

 

[OlyDuck]

UW has been bad on the road. Penix will probably turn it over twice. Mid 20's is more likely.

yes there is the location factor. i will give you that. i expect Autzen to be louder than normal for this.

 

[Wizardhawk]

yes there is the location factor. i will give you that. i expect Autzen to be louder than normal for this.

Um, noise isn't the issue. They didn't play well at Cal even and that's about the most quiet place in the conference. They just don't play the same on the road anywhere than they do at home.

 

[duckboy33]

We will see if noise becomes a factor. UW hasn't played in a hostile road environment so it's hard to know how it may impact them. It certainly helps UW that their biggest offensive strength plays well vs. Oregon's biggest defensive weakness. Deboer has a crazy good passing attack. There's definitely plays to be made for the Huskies.

The big question is whether UW's defense can stand up to Oregon's run game. That's going to decide the game IMO.

 

[Wizardhawk]

We will see if noise becomes a factor. UW hasn't played in a hostile road environment so it's hard to know how it may impact them. It certainly helps UW that their biggest offensive strength plays well vs. Oregon's biggest defensive weakness. Deboer has a crazy good passing attack. There's definitely plays to be made for the Huskies.

The big question is whether UW's defense can stand up to Oregon's run game. That's going to decide the game IMO.

We really don't know much about UW's run D. On paper they rank high, but even local media assumes it is because the pass D is so bad other teams really don't have to focus on running.

DTR had a pretty good day against UW throwing for 315 (3 TDs) and rushing for another 53 (and a rushing TD). So if they haven't grown from that point to now, it's going to be a long day at the office for that D.

UW's best hope is to not have the turnovers they have been giving up on the road and maybe get one or two breaks of their own.

 

[duckboy33]

We really don't know much about UW's run D. On paper they rank high, but even local media assumes it is because the pass D is so bad other teams really don't have to focus on running.

DTR had a pretty good day against UW throwing for 315 (3 TDs) and rushing for another 53 (and a rushing TD). So if they haven't grown from that point to now, it's going to be a long day at the office for that D.

UW's best hope is to not have the turnovers they have been giving up on the road and maybe get one or two breaks of their own.

Another interesting aspect of the game is going to be UW's pass rush vs. Oregon's pass protection. UW has some very good pass rushers and Oregon has only given up one sack all year. If they can get pressure on Nix, they may rattle him. If Nix has all the time he needs, it's probably going to be a long day for the UW defense.

 

[Wizardhawk]

Penix and Nix are both good at getting rid of the ball fast. It's more about them than their pass pro.

 

[duckboy33]

UW pass rush made a huge difference on that first drive

 

[Wizardhawk]

UW pass rush made a huge difference on that first drive

Not feeling like talking in OD's thread? lol

Don't worry, the passing lanes will be there all day. That penalty hurt more than the Huskies D. Now that Perryman is out that young corner is going to get smoked. That long pass to the 20y was against him on his first play out after the injury.

 

[duckboy33]

Not feeling like talking in OD's thread? lol

Don't worry, the passing lanes will be there all day. That penalty hurt more than the Huskies D. Now that Perryman is out that young corner is going to get smoked. That long pass to the 20y was against him on his first play out after the injury.

UW has the perfect game plan offensively. Long drives that kill the clock. If they can continue to be efficient, that’s gonna put a lot of pressure on Oregons offense

 

[Wizardhawk]

UW has the perfect game plan offensively. Long drives that kill the clock. If they can continue to be efficient, that’s gonna put a lot of pressure on Oregons offense

Yeah, but their LB's fucking can't tackle.

At all

 

[duckboy33]

Yeah, but their LB's fucking can't tackle.

At all

Yeah the tackling has not been good. I’m a little surprised UW didn’t go for it on 4th and 1 on the last possession

 

[Wizardhawk]

Yeah the tackling has not been good. I’m a little surprised UW didn’t go for it on 4th and 1 on the last possession

They tried that in the UCLA game and it cost them. I'm happy Deboer isn't repeating mistakes. Take the points when you have that chance. Every time. Don't give their team a spark with a 4th down stop.

UW doesn't have a big threat running game enough to take those risks.

 

[duckboy33]

That’s a 7 point mistake for Oregon. Ducks are in trouble here

 

[Wizardhawk]

That’s a 7 point mistake for Oregon. Ducks are in trouble here

They do get the ball to open the second half and I'm telling you the Huskies have given up turnovers in every road game this year. Or at least it feels like they have.

 

[Wizardhawk]

And that's why they didn't go for it on 4th and 1. They don't have a power run game.