Blue Plate Specials - Week 9

Wild Turkey

Wild Turkey

Joined
Aug 17, 2020
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Bookie:
$ 10,500.00
You already have the special edition bonus pick so I hope all of you jumped on Colorado +17 now to the main event. It's not a great week to find automatic wins but any job worth doing is worth doing it right and I've got not one but two sure things for you:

Oklahoma @ Kansas +10 - Oklahoma is coming off a near loss to a horrible UCF and Kansas beat UCF by nearly 30 and they get the Boomers at home. I don't necessarily see a Kansas win but they cover being at home and Oklahoma is going to want to control the game and play it conservative through the run game and defense. It's just mentally hard to get up to play Kansas and the Jayhawks have had OU circled all season so emotion will carry the day.

Tennessee @ Kentucky +3.5 - My comfort zone is definitely more in the cover zone for games but this game speaks to me. Kentucky on paper looked liked they could have a very good year and while they were playing cupcakes they were rolling but UT ain't no cupcake. The Vols go into Lexington butt hurt over the Alabama game and take it out on the Wildcats and win this one by at least 7. Take Tennesee for the win.

Get rich and don't forget to give back.
 
A true sharp would post his record in games picked.... and isn't Kansas using a backup now since the ucf game?
 
VT - 3 against Cuse
Pitt +20 against ND
Wake Forest +20 against FSU
Nebraska - 2.5 against Purdue
Minnesota -7 against MSU

$50 to win $1,000
 
ericd7633 said:
VT - 3 against Cuse
Pitt +20 against ND
Wake Forest +20 against FSU
Nebraska - 2.5 against Purdue
Minnesota -7 against MSU

$50 to win $1,000
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Pitt will cover. They think they can win this game because they beat Louisville. They always play ND tough when they’re not expected to be good and this ND team still feels too inconsistent to give me confidence it won’t be a nail biter or a loss.

I’d like to think they turned a corner after USC but I have yet to see enough consistency from this team. Also USC might have been fools gold.
 
jjc2009 said:
Pitt will cover. They think they can win this game because they beat Louisville. They always play ND tough when they’re not expected to be good and this ND team still feels too inconsistent to give me confidence it won’t be a nail biter or a loss.

I’d like to think they turned a corner after USC but I have yet to see enough consistency from this team. Also USC might have been fools gold.
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Yeah, the Pitt game always seems to be a close game no matter how good each team is. The 2020 game is a huge outlier in this series.
 
ericd7633 said:
Yeah, the Pitt game always seems to be a close game no matter how good each team is. The 2020 game is a huge outlier in this series.
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I think Pitt will cover but wouldn't be shocked if they don't. The ND/Louisville game was a brutal situation for ND. Coming off B2B primetime games vs. Ohio State and at Duke with a healthy Riley Leonard only to face another primetime ranked road game against a super hyped Louisville team (which, honestly, explains the letdown they had vs. a very bad Pitt team). I think ND is a far more talented and well-coached team than Pitt, and getting them at home with the nice 3:30 kick just screams ND blowout to me.
 
ericd7633 said:
Yeah, the Pitt game always seems to be a close game no matter how good each team is. The 2020 game is a huge outlier in this series.
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I remember 2012 and I was at the 2018 game. That game was 3.5 quarters of frustration followed by one beautiful bomb to Miles Boykin and then they couldn’t ice the game after a turnover and Pitt still had a chance to score at the end.
 
ericd7633 said:
VT - 3 against Cuse
Pitt +20 against ND
Wake Forest +20 against FSU
Nebraska - 2.5 against Purdue
Minnesota -7 against MSU

$50 to win $1,000
Click to expand...
You're just throwing money away. Ride with the Blue Plate and update your wheels.
 
Across The Field said:
I think Pitt will cover but wouldn't be shocked if they don't. The ND/Louisville game was a brutal situation for ND. Coming off B2B primetime games vs. Ohio State and at Duke with a healthy Riley Leonard only to face another primetime ranked road game against a super hyped Louisville team (which, honestly, explains the letdown they had vs. a very bad Pitt team). I think ND is a far more talented and well-coached team than Pitt, and getting them at home with the nice 3:30 kick just screams ND blowout to me.
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Pitt will muck up this game. It's what they do. They aren't good, but for some reason, this game is always close. Even great ND teams have struggled with mediocre Pitt teams. 20 is also a pretty big number.
 
ericd7633 said:
Pitt will muck up this game. It's what they do. They aren't good, but for some reason, this game is always close. Even great ND teams have struggled with mediocre Pitt teams. 20 is also a pretty big number.
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I know historically Pitt always puts up a fight, but it also usually seems like they're better than this year's team. Those last several Pitt teams ND faced were generally at least bowl teams if not 8/9 win teams, but that would be a shock for this year's team. I'm still staying away from it in regards to betting, but I'll not be shocked if ND runs it up on them.
 
Across The Field said:
I know historically Pitt always puts up a fight, but it also usually seems like they're better than this year's team. Those last several Pitt teams ND faced were generally at least bowl teams if not 8/9 win teams, but that would be a shock for this year's team. I'm still staying away from it in regards to betting, but I'll not be shocked if ND runs it up on them.
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Prior to the 2020 game, they took great ND teams(2012 and 2018) to the wire with 6, and 8 win teams. They beat a top 20 ND team in 2013 when they wouldn't have been bowl-eligible if not for beating us. They are worse than those teams yes, but psychologically there is something about this game. We also aren't as good as the 2012 and 2018 teams were either. So while they are worse, so are we. I could be overthinking it and our defense could be too suffocating for them, but man weird shit always happens in this game. Lol.
 
ericd7633 said:
Prior to the 2020 game, they took great ND teams(2012 and 2018) to the wire with 6, and 8 win teams. They beat a top 20 ND team in 2013 when they wouldn't have been bowl-eligible if not for beating us. They are worse than those teams yes, but psychologically there is something about this game. We also aren't as good as the 2012 and 2018 teams were either. So while they are worse, so are we. I could be overthinking it and our defense could be too suffocating for them, but man weird shit always happens in this game. Lol.
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You definitely know this team better than I do, but damn, just being objective I can't find a way that they come into South Bend on that field and keep it close while USC got annihilated the way they did. I hope you guys cover
 
Across The Field said:
You definitely know this team better than I do, but damn, just being objective I can't find a way that they come into South Bend on that field and keep it close while USC got annihilated the way they did. I hope you guys cover
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Our offense just isn't explosive enough to run anyone off the field unless aided by turnovers like the USC game. NC State is probably the closest comp to Pitt(slightly better than them IMO), and that was a TD game heading into the 4th Qtr. NC State's 4th quarter possessions were INT, INT, turnover on downs. Which helped us blow it open. Pitt could definitely turn it over, as they've done all year, but if they play a clean game, I don't think we'll cover that.
 
ericd7633 said:
Our offense just isn't explosive enough to run anyone off the field unless aided by turnovers like the USC game. NC State is probably the closest comp to Pitt(slightly better than them IMO), and that was a TD game heading into the 4th Qtr. NC State's 4th quarter possessions were INT, INT, turnover on downs. Which helped us blow it open. Pitt could definitely turn it over, as they've done all year, but if they play a clean game, I don't think we'll cover that.
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Pitt does have a surprisingly stingy defense, but their offense is horrific. That's why I thought of the Louisville game as being particularly fluky. If anything, I may just bet the under on it.
 
Across The Field said:
Pitt does have a surprisingly stingy defense, but their offense is horrific. That's why I thought of the Louisville game as being particularly fluky. If anything, I may just bet the under on it.
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I'm not sure what the O/U is, but I'm guessing something 27-13 as a final score.
 
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