Updated Bracketology 2.16.24

Red_Alert said:
To ignore the BE would be to ignore what Cretin did to Nebraska in Lincoln.

Purdue and Wisconsin both went down in Lincoln.
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The committee likes to evaluate teams based on the strength of their conference, and certain conferences have better metrics realtively. It's a stylistic thing.

The Mountain West is sitting high. They're going to control the bubble this year
 
jontaejones said:
Told you.

They always undervalue the BE. Unless it's something really obvious, like a 1 loss Nova team.

I honestly think Tennessee is a little overrated too, like strictly resume

I also don't think Arizona has made a case to be solidly on the one line, but Seth Davis addressed that
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Zona I think deserves the final 1.

But listen to any bracketologist and they had it between Zona and Marquette. Putting unc there is fucking nuts.

Doesn’t even make sense
 
Mr.Hockey said:
Zona I think deserves the final 1.

But listen to any bracketologist and they had it between Zona and Marquette. Putting unc there is fucking nuts.

Doesn’t even make sense
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Oh no I agree they deserve to be there.

But the committe chair said it wasn't close between Zona and the next best.
 
Lunardi has Kentucky up to a 5 with their last win.
 
jontaejones said:
The committee likes to evaluate teams based on the strength of their conference, and certain conferences have better metrics realtively. It's a stylistic thing.

The Mountain West is sitting high. They're going to control the bubble this year
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They are also going to cannibalize themselves
 
Peter Gozintite said:
They are also going to cannibalize themselves
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Looking at future schedules, I do think the MWC will get 6 in. If they take care of business against the bottom teams, they'll all make it. Even if they all split with one another, I think the resumes are already to strong to leave out. New Mexico would be the team im most worried about.

Also, I wouldn't put it past UNLV winning the MWCT. Could potentially be a 7-bid league, if so. And I'd be all for it.
 
ericd7633 said:
Looking at future schedules, I do think the MWC will get 6 in. If they take care of business against the bottom teams, they'll all make it. Even if they all split with one another, I think the resumes are already to strong to leave out. New Mexico would be the team im most worried about.

Also, I wouldn't put it past UNLV winning the MWCT. Could potentially be a 7-bid league, if so. And I'd be all for it.
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I think they're as deserving as anybody in the BE, though I haven't seen all of them play.

I like Mountain West teams in the tournament, they bring a different element, every team has a different style of play
 
ericd7633 said:
Looking at future schedules, I do think the MWC will get 6 in. If they take care of business against the bottom teams, they'll all make it. Even if they all split with one another, I think the resumes are already to strong to leave out. New Mexico would be the team im most worried about.

Also, I wouldn't put it past UNLV winning the MWCT. Could potentially be a 7-bid league, if so. And I'd be all for it.
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That sounds super exciting:

 
And New Mexico just lost to the 262nd rated team at home. The committee needs to do the right thing here.
 
Hitman Hart said:
And New Mexico just lost to the 262nd rated team at home. The committee needs to do the right thing here.
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That'll put them on the outside looking in at this point. Crippling loss. Have 2 Q1 opportunities left though. 3-0 finish and they'll likely be fine, but with how they're playing that's highly unlikely.
 
This dance is going to have the highest # of avg losses per team in history. The price paid for parity.
 
I will say before starting my update, the race for the 4th #1 seed is going to be fascinating. Arizona, Tennessee, Auburn, Iowa State, UNC, Duke and Marquette are all 21-6. Kansas is 20-6. Some of them have a better chance than others, but a strong close out by any of the above could get it.
 
ericd7633 said:
I will say before starting my update, the race for the 4th #1 seed is going to be fascinating. Arizona, Tennessee, Auburn, Iowa State, UNC, Duke and Marquette are all 21-6. Kansas is 20-6. Some of them have a better chance than others, but a strong close out by any of the above could get it.
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I don't think Auburn and Duke are in the running but the others are.

Marquette, Kansas, and Tennessee winning out regular season would get it easily, but ... the way home court has been, that is very unlikely.

Iowa St has the easiest schedule left but they will not win out and win the B12 tourney.

The MOST likely in my opinion is UNC sweeping the rest of their games and winning the ACC tourney. The odds of that happening aren't too far.
 
Palm already has UNC as the 4th #1 seed.

I don't think it's close at the moment. Palm likes to take risks and then correct his mistakes later, just so he doesn't follow what everyone else is doing

Palm also has Seton Hall in his first four out which if they don't make the tourney with what they have right now would be by far the biggest snub of all time.
 
jontaejones said:
I don't think Auburn and Duke are in the running but the others are.

Marquette, Kansas, and Tennessee winning out regular season would get it easily, but ... the way home court has been, that is very unlikely.

Iowa St has the easiest schedule left but they will not win out and win the B12 tourney.

The MOST likely in my opinion is UNC sweeping the rest of their games and winning the ACC tourney. The odds of that happening aren't too far.
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I think Duke has the longest shot, but if they won out they'd be 28-6. Even then I think it still would depend on what others around them do. I do think they are the lowest in the pecking order, so they not only need to win out, but have some help from the surrounding teams. Same with Auburn, but to a slightly lesser extent.

I agree with UNC. I think right now they are the 4th #1. They have a pretty favorable schedule, so if they hypothetically split against Duke(last reg season game and ACCT), I think it's probably them. Committee has a favorable opinion of them given where they were in the top 16 reveal.
 
Tennessee and Marquette control their own destiny to a 1

UNC most likely to actually get it.

Zona who knows
 
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