Week 7 Playoff Projections

michaeljordan_fan

michaeljordan_fan

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1 - Texas (Sugar)
2 - Ohio State (Rose)
3 - Clemson (Peach)
4 - Iowa State (Fiesta)
5 - Oregon
6 - Penn State
7 - Georgia
8 - Tennessee
9 - LSU
10 - Miami
11 - Notre Dame
12 - Boise State

Boise State @ Oregon
Notre Dame @ Penn State
Miami @ Georgia
LSU @ Tennessee


Notes
-While OSU lost at Oregon, this was already built into the previous projections, with OSU ultimately prevailing in a pseudo-home environment in Indianapolis.
-Coming off back to back bad performances, Alabama is now slated to miss the playoff, with Tennessee taking their place

Obviously a big week of games on tap this week, which could potentially shake things up.
 
Some big games with playoff implications this week:

#6 Miami FL at Louisville - If Miami wants to give themselves room for error (not winning the ACC), they need to win this game on the road.

Nebraska at #16 Indiana - Don't laugh. Indiana's schedule sets up really well for them. Nebraska's defense presents a real challenge for them IMO.

#7 Alabama at #8 Tennessee - Monster game. Loser isn't necessarily out of the picture but it gets tougher for them to make it.

#8 LSU at Arkansas - Trap game that could hurt LSU's chances.

#5 Georgia at #1 Texas - Loser definitely isn't out but the winner has a leg up to get to Atlanta and earn a bye in the CFP.

#12 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech - ND's schedule doesn't allow them much more room for error. GT can run the ball.
 
UNA Lion said:
Not sold on Tennessee, but we'll know more this time next week.
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Not that Bama has been lighting it up exactly but Tennessee looks very vulnerable and potentially on the brink of collapse. The loser of this game is almost certainly out of the CFP.
 
My Playoff prediction based on how I see the season finishing out:

1. Texas (might drop one game to either Georgia or Texas A&M) but wins SEC title game. Possible you could switch Texas and Ohio St if Texas loses a regular season game. Ohio St could get wins over Penn St. and Oregon.
2. Ohio St. (beats Oregon in Big title game)
3. Clemson
4. BYU? Iowa St? Kansas St? Who knows...somebody wins this conference.

5. Oregon
6. Penn St
7. Texas A&M
8. Georgia
9. Notre Dame
10. Miami
11. Mizzou (11-2 loses to Texas in SEC Title game). I have to have at least 1 homer pick. I think Mizzou can win out.
12. Boise St

Mizzou is only in SEC Title game if Texas beats both Georgia and A&M. If Georgia beats Texas and wins out like I expect they would get Texas rematch in SEC Title game. If A&M wins out then they would get rematch with Texas in SEC Title game. I don't think Texas will lose both of them. I think it's either or win both. Mizzou at 11-1 would get in the playoffs. 11-2 Mizzou also gets in with loss in SEC Title game. I think 10-2 Mizzou gets left out because teams like A&M and Bama (most likely lost in regular season) would have same records and head to head wins over Mizzou.


Boise St at Oregon winner vs Big 12
Mizzou at Penn St winner vs Clemson
Miami at A&M winner vs Ohio St
Notre Dame at Georgia winner vs Texas
 
im not convinced Boise doesnt win out and jumps the Big XII champ into the 4th seed bye
 
The MWC currently has 3 out of 12 teams with a winning record. Two 5-1 teams, a 4-2 team and the rest are .500 or below. It's a pile of poo. There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the MWC Champion (Boise State or UNLV) will have the metrics to be seeded higher than the Big XII Champion in the CFB Playoff.
 
78Cyclones said:
The MWC currently has 3 out of 12 teams with a winning record. Two 5-1 teams, a 4-2 team and the rest are .500 or below. It's a pile of poo. There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the MWC Champion (Boise State or UNLV) will have the metrics to be seeded higher than the Big XII Champion in the CFB Playoff.
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While I do agree with you, it’ll be an interesting argument if the B12 champ has 2 losses. Especially if it’s Boise, who I think given their only loss being a close one on the road to almost certainly top 10 team will have a good argument.

I’m very much hoping ISU and BYU win out and quite possibly both get into this.
 
78Cyclones said:
The MWC currently has 3 out of 12 teams with a winning record. Two 5-1 teams, a 4-2 team and the rest are .500 or below. It's a pile of poo. There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the MWC Champion (Boise State or UNLV) will have the metrics to be seeded higher than the Big XII Champion in the CFB Playoff.
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If bigxii champ has 2 losses and Oregon continues to win, it will happen.

No one respects the bigxii.
 
ralphiewvu said:
Right now some projections have them getting 2 teams in.

No one cares about your opinion on who respects who.
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This is about a 2-loss bigxii champ vs 1 loss boise.

Boise gets the 4 seed in that scenario.
 
michaeljordan_fan said:
If bigxii champ has 2 losses and Oregon continues to win, it will happen.

No one respects the bigxii.
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That's fine, but it is much stronger than the MWC. It could happen, but I think it is unlikely. Currently, BYU and ISU are 6-0, and K-State, Texas Tech and Arizona State are 5-1. I mean, I know that's not quite the same as BSU and UNLV at 5-1 and SJSU at 4-2. :) I just think the Big XII Champion's schedule will blow away the MWC Conference Champion's schedule in the metrics. If noone respects the Big XII, that is fine, but the MWC is nowhere as good as the Big XII in any way, shape or form.
 
78Cyclones said:
That's fine, but it is much stronger than the MWC. It could happen, but I think it is unlikely. Currently, BYU and ISU are 6-0, and K-State, Texas Tech and Arizona State are 5-1. I mean, I know that's not quite the same as BSU and UNLV at 5-1 and SJSU at 4-2. :) I just think the Big XII Champion's schedule will blow away the MWC schedule in the metrics. If noone respects the Big XII, that is fine, but the MWC is nowhere as good as the Big XII in any way, shape or form.
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Obviously a 1 loss or undefeated bigxii champ gets the 4 seed over bsu
 
michaeljordan_fan said:
This is about a 2-loss bigxii champ vs 1 loss boise.

Boise gets the 4 seed in that scenario.
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Likely but not set in stone. And it’d be the same with the ACC too, Oscar.
 
Jon Deaux said:
No way a G5 conference gets a first round bye.
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If Boise is that team and the ACC and B12 have a 2 loss champ then that likely happens.

Another question would be if the ACC or B12 has a 1 loss non champ, would they make it over a 1 loss Boise. I say likely yes.
 
Jon Deaux said:
No way a G5 conference gets a first round bye.
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Boise State has a realistic shot. They'll have wins over Washington State (currently 5-1) and Ga Southern (currently 4-2), in the non conference and a sweep of UNLV (assuming they win out).
 
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