UGA Texas week

DFEI:
Texas: 2
Mich- 7
Georgia- 9
Ou- 10

If you don’t want that. pts/drive allowed is better than PPG
Texas - 1
Oklahoma- 9
Georgia - 39
Michigan- 40
I don't know what DFEI is, but I can't imagine that's adjusted to competition, which is the point I was making.

Texas is obviously very good. I am simply pointing out that you haven't really played overly good teams yet. As erratic as UGA has been, I am not sure we will be the overly good team you will play, but I am fairly confident you will see a level of talent and scheme you've not seen yet.
 
I don't know what DFEI is, but I can't imagine that's adjusted to competition, which is the point I was making.

Texas is obviously very good. I am simply pointing out that you haven't really played overly good teams yet. As erratic as UGA has been, I am not sure we will be the overly good team you will play, but I am fairly confident you will see a level of talent and scheme you've not seen yet.
DFEI is most certainly adjusted for strength of schedule
 
Intriging game for sure. One one hand texas fans are pretty quiet so Georgia won't get rattled by that enviroment. It's just not an imtemidating place to play. On the other hand texas has 19 of their 22 starters are Juniors or Seniors. I think texass squeaks it out but hope Im wrong.
 
DFEI is most certainly adjusted for strength of schedule
What is it? What is the source? Whatever it is, it doesn't make sense to me. I'd like to look into it. There is nothing I've seen that would have Texas high on any SOS at this point.
 
What is it? What is the source? Whatever it is, it doesn't make sense to me. I'd like to look into it. There is nothing I've seen that would have Texas high on any SOS at this point.
Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI, DFEI, and OFEI). I believe Fremeau developed it while he was with the Football outsiders. Was probably the most quoted saber metric in football, until ESPN got them.. It disappeared for a bit right after that, but bcftoys.com brought it back on a free site. Good site for stats
 
Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI, DFEI, and OFEI). I believe Fremeau developed it while he was with the Football outsiders. Was probably the most quoted saber metric in football, until ESPN got them.. It disappeared for a bit right after that, but bcftoys.com brought it back on a free site. Good site for stats
I think Texas's schedule "looks tough" with wins over national brands like Oklahoma and Michigan. Reality is -- Oklahoma and Michigan are ATROCIOUS on offense and truly not very good. That's why I made the comment last weekend -- if Oklahoma and Michigan were to play -- the O/U would be like 6.5.

Not taking anything away from Texas, as they did what they should have done against each team. I just think Georgia is going to be a completely different talent level than the teams Texas has faced this year.
 
I think Texas's schedule "looks tough" with wins over national brands like Oklahoma and Michigan. Reality is -- Oklahoma and Michigan are ATROCIOUS on offense and truly not very good. That's why I made the comment last weekend -- if Oklahoma and Michigan were to play -- the O/U would be like 6.5.

Not taking anything away from Texas, as they did what they should have done against each team. I just think Georgia is going to be a completely different talent level than the teams Texas has faced this year.
I have been consistent on this. Texas has played some very good defense this year. They have played nothing but shit offenses..

In theory the Georgia defense should be nothing Texas has not seen (sometimes match-up don’t work that way). The Georgia offense will definitely be a different animal. I would expect Texas’s pts allowed per game to be higher than the 6.333 currently. How much is the question
 
I think Texas's schedule "looks tough" with wins over national brands like Oklahoma and Michigan. Reality is -- Oklahoma and Michigan are ATROCIOUS on offense and truly not very good. That's why I made the comment last weekend -- if Oklahoma and Michigan were to play -- the O/U would be like 6.5.

Not taking anything away from Texas, as they did what they should have done against each team. I just think Georgia is going to be a completely different talent level than the teams Texas has faced this year.
Trying to take my Dawg colored glasses off, that's how I see it. OU and UM have not played at the level of Bama and Clemson, even though Bama has also played badly at times, and Clemson hasn't played anyone tough. And I guess that's the problem with only half the season gone ... we don't really know how good the teams are, but it just seems as if UGA has played the tougher schedule.

All that said, we can all agree for sure that UGA has more talent than either of those schools that have been Texas' most challenging schools. Now, how well that talent is playing and how well they are being coached is another thing. But Texas will see more talent for sure, but they too are talented. It should be a really good game at the UGA v. Bama level, or the TX v. Bama level the last 2 years. I am looking forward to it.

247s Talent Composite
1 Bama
2 UGA

3 tOSU
4 Texas
5 Clemson

6 Oregon
7 OU
8 LSU
9 ND
10 ATM

16 Michigan
 
Trying to take my Dawg colored glasses off, that's how I see it. OU and UM have not played at the level of Bama and Clemson, even though Bama has also played badly at times, and Clemson hasn't played anyone tough. And I guess that's the problem with only half the season gone ... we don't really know how good the teams are, but it just seems as if UGA has played the tougher schedule.

All that said, we can all agree for sure that UGA has more talent than either of those schools that have been Texas' most challenging schools. Now, how well that talent is playing and how well they are being coached is another thing. But Texas will see more talent for sure, but they too are talented. It should be a really good game at the UGA v. Bama level, or the TX v. Bama level the last 2 years. I am looking forward to it.

247s Talent Composite
1 Bama
2 UGA

3 tOSU
4 Texas
5 Clemson

6 Oregon
7 OU
8 LSU
9 ND
10 ATM

16 Michigan
Things I will be watching
1. Quinn. His play was nowhere near pre-injury last week. Does he rebound to early season form? If not, this will be a struggle for Texas
2. Georgia’s eye discipline. Talent is all over that defense, but they have played like 11 individuals this year. I expect a lot of motion in this game to test Georgia’s football IQ. They have to play smarter and tackle better
3. Will Georgia try to establish the run? Bobo doesn’t seem very interested in running the ball. Crazy Georgia is like 40/60 run/pass
4. The deep ball from Georgia. They have athletes at WR. MSU got behind Texas a couple times. I expect multiple deep shots off double moves from Georgia
 
Things I will be watching
1. Quinn. His play was nowhere near pre-injury last week. Does he rebound to early season form? If not, this will be a struggle for Texas
2. Georgia’s eye discipline. Talent is all over that defense, but they have played like 11 individuals this year. I expect a lot of motion in this game to test Georgia’s football IQ. They have to play smarter and tackle better
3. Will Georgia try to establish the run? Bobo doesn’t seem very interested in running the ball. Crazy Georgia is like 40/60 run/pass
4. The deep ball from Georgia. They have athletes at WR. MSU got behind Texas a couple times. I expect multiple deep shots off double moves from Georgia
I agree with this dunce 100%
 
I have been consistent on this. Texas has played some very good defense this year. They have played nothing but shit offenses..

In theory the Georgia defense should be nothing Texas has not seen (sometimes match-up don’t work that way). The Georgia offense will definitely be a different animal. I would expect Texas’s pts allowed per game to be higher than the 6.333 currently. How much is the question
Even defensively Michigan hasn't been the same. Texas did exactly what every team has done this year against Michigan. Throw away from Will Johnson. Run outside when Grant and Mason are in the game and run inside when they are out of the game. So I can't even call Michigan a very good defense. We have 3 amazing players on defense who will likely be 1st round picks next year, but too many holes elsewhere and losing Rod Moore was a HUGE loss for us.

I think Texas is a very good team. I haven't watched Georgia at all this year other than the Bama game. They didn't look that good, but they are LIGHT YEARS better than Michigan.

I think it will be a hard fought game. I think Georgia has been playing these type of games for a long time. I think Georgia pulls out the win. 31-20.
 
Iowa would be jealous.
Iowa's offense looks like a juggernaut compared to Michigan's this year. That's how bad Michigan's offense is. We barely average 300 yards of offense and we've turned the ball over 12 times.
 
Things I will be watching
1. Quinn. His play was nowhere near pre-injury last week. Does he rebound to early season form? If not, this will be a struggle for Texas
2. Georgia’s eye discipline. Talent is all over that defense, but they have played like 11 individuals this year. I expect a lot of motion in this game to test Georgia’s football IQ. They have to play smarter and tackle better
3. Will Georgia try to establish the run? Bobo doesn’t seem very interested in running the ball. Crazy Georgia is like 40/60 run/pass
4. The deep ball from Georgia. They have athletes at WR. MSU got behind Texas a couple times. I expect multiple deep shots off double moves from Georgia
1. What happens if he really gets tagged? Any news on how his injury did? Those aren't ones that necessarily go away immediately. Not hoping for injury - just wondering.

2. The tackling is the biggest concern. We've been as bad as ever under Smart. One good thing is that we have all but one DL back. Not sure they are at 100%, but we will be rotate more than we have been able to all season. That will be very helpful with tackling. If we can get off the field on 3rd downs - not something we have excelled at this year - with more bodies the DL which has played well should play even better.

3. I don't see us trying to establish the run ... it's on the OL. They have been really good in pass pro, but very average, at best, for run blocking. It's crazy. Our tackles aren't as good as they should be, but still doing a decent job protecting Beck. If we can neutralize your pressure, could be a long day for your DBs. I think he will throw the ball 40-50 times. Bobo would run it, just not sure he can. Looks like we will get our staring center back ... we have played Center no. 3 the last 2 games - Ratledge is the backup center and he is out.

4. Same for you on the deep ball. We've gotten burned by Bama and then MSU on the long ball. And you have really good WRs, too. An interesting point is that the long ball is not the strength of either QB.

- We need to limit turnovers. Beck has 5 INTs, and several fumbles and a safety ... way more than last year. We lost the SECCG last year when he fumbled on our 25. On the other hand, I prefer he be slinging it around and not worry too much about it. He's almost been too conservative. I'd give up an INT if he would really cut loose like he can.

- We have a couple freshman that are going to get really involved this game - at RB, Frazier is really dynamic and seems like he has pass pro down better. With RB2 out now, we won't have any choice but to run with him. And, we look to be starting our 5* CB who has had a couple really good weeks of practice - Ellis Robinson. If he can play well at CB, we can move some other people around to more natural positions. Now would be a good time for our DBs to start playing to their star ratings, except for Dan Jackson who was a 2*/3* and is playing elite.

Honestly, it should be a really good game with two good teams, two good coaches. I'd be shocked if it is decided before the last few minutes. I chose my score - 31 - 23 because I think our D can get back to the bend but don't break D we've had in the past few years. 3 FGs, 2 TDs. Change 2 of the 3 FGs to TDs and it will be a different outcome.
 
Even defensively Michigan hasn't been the same. Texas did exactly what every team has done this year against Michigan. Throw away from Will Johnson. Run outside when Grant and Mason are in the game and run inside when they are out of the game. So I can't even call Michigan a very good defense. We have 3 amazing players on defense who will likely be 1st round picks next year, but too many holes elsewhere and losing Rod Moore was a HUGE loss for us.

I think Texas is a very good team. I haven't watched Georgia at all this year other than the Bama game. They didn't look that good, but they are LIGHT YEARS better than Michigan.

I think it will be a hard fought game. I think Georgia has been playing these type of games for a long time. I think Georgia pulls out the win. 31-20.
I think you exaggerate that. Michigan defense will fade as the year goes on, so will OU, because of those offenses. Michigan is probably a top 3 DL. It’s legit. The secondary can be picked on. Not liking Wink. Michigan has been terrible on 3rd down. My suspicion is Wink is so predictable in his blitzes on 3rd down

Georgia has a starting CB that has been targeted 24 times this year. He has given up 21 catches. Mondon not playing is a huge issue. He is the 1 LB that can do anything. High IQ guy. The rest are not. Crazy thing is Georgia is led by their offense this year and by the pass game. That sounds nothing like the past Kirby Smart Georgia teams.

Plenty of questions in this game. It would surprise nobody if Georgia won. Games like this are often won by one coaching staff exposing a particular weakness or someone having a special game. We will find out in 2 days how it plays out
 
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