Where are we with the CFP after week 12?

WhosYourDawggy

WhosYourDawggy

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- UGA is in no matter what. If we win the SECCG, we will be seeded 1. Otherwise 2 or 3. I suppose that if we get blown out we could drop to 5 if everyone else wins big. Just don't see any of that happening.

The remaining teams with a chance:

tOSU or UM, presuming the winner will beat Wisky/Iowa/Minny. If Wisky/Iowa/Minny wins, the B1G is out.
With Oregon losing, the PAC is out. This was a big win for Bama, as I don't think a 2 loss Bama gets in over a 1 loss PAC and B12 champ.
With Wake losing, ACC is out, although I think they were already out.

That leaves:
- Cincinnati with an impressive win over SMU (SMH), with only Houston in the way.
- ND - only a terrible Stanford to play and a loss to Cincy
- Bama - if they beat us they are in, seeded 1. If the lose close it's not so certain.

I am going with the following assumptions (which we know is terribly stupid):
- UM or tOSU wins out, so a 1 loss B1G champ.
- OU or OSU wins out, so a 1 loss B12 champ.
- Cincy wins out, so undefeated G5
- ND wins out, so 1 loss ND
- Bama loses to us, so a 2 loss Bama

In this scenario, it will be:
1 UGA
2 tOSU/UM
3 OU/OSU
4 Cincy

I say this based on the fact that they will not let a 2 loss team in. Cincy gets in over ND as both are Indy, but Cincy beat ND @ ND. If Bama truly gets the benefit of the doubt, which they probably will, then Cincy gets bumped. Bama will be seeded 3, with OU/OSU 4.

In that scenario it would be:
1 UGA
2 tOSU/UM
3 Bama
4 Cincy/B12

Should Bama beat us it will be:

1 Bama
2 tOSU/UM
3 UGA
4 Cincy/B12

I believe at the end of the day we will have to beat Cincy or the B12 champ. Then the winner of Bama v tOSU. Think we will have to beat Bama twice to get this done.

Where am I wrong?
 
I can guarantee, even if Cincinnati wins out, they are not making the playoffs, even though they should. Playoff committee won't let it happen. They'd put a 2 loss Michigan State team in before Cincinnati.
 
I wanna see

UGA win out
Wisky win B10
Baylor win B12
Pitt win ACC
Auburn beat Bama
Houston beat Cincy

Then watch everyone try to figure shit out lol
 
Nate said:
I can guarantee, even if Cincinnati wins out, they are not making the playoffs, even though they should. Playoff committee won't let it happen. They'd put a 2 loss Michigan State team in before Cincinnati.
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I mean if you look at the most likely scenarios ... I know, I know ... you get UGA and tOSU for sure. If Bama beats UGA you get Bama, UGA and tOSU for sure. Then you have the whole OU/OSU and Cincy/ND thing for the 4th spot. I have no idea what is going to happen in the B12 but if OSU wins, then OSU beats them in the CCG, the B12 is out. ND can't get in over Cincy, but will they take Cincy instead of a 2 loss Bama? I think it would all depend on the score of the SECCG.
 
rmilia1 said:
I wanna see

UGA win out
Wisky win B10
Baylor win B12
Pitt win ACC
Auburn beat Bama
Houston beat Cincy

Then watch everyone try to figure shit out lol
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That truly is the WTF scenario.
 
Nate said:
I can guarantee, even if Cincinnati wins out, they are not making the playoffs, even though they should. Playoff committee won't let it happen. They'd put a 2 loss Michigan State team in before Cincinnati.
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If Bama loses to UGA and Oregon is now out it will be tough to not let them in.

They can’t put ND in over them when they beat them at their house.

If Ohio State loses to Michigan then they are out and Michigan takes that spot.

The stars have aligned and Cincinnati is in.
 
Wild Turkey said:
If Bama loses to UGA and Oregon is now out it will be tough to not let them in.

They can’t put ND in over them when they beat them at their house.

If Ohio State loses to Michigan then they are out and Michigan takes that spot.

The stars have aligned and Cincinnati is in.
Click to expand...

Hmm. ND needs a CCG.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
I know you are trolling, and I respect that.

With Oregon losing, the PAC is out.
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thats-like-music-to-my-ears-good-news.gif
 
Georgia/Alabama
Michigan/ohio state
Cincinnati
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State

All these teams have their own fate in their hands
 
Voltaire said:
Georgia/Alabama
Michigan/ohio state
Cincinnati
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State

All these teams have their own fate in their hands
Click to expand...
Bet ya they put ND in over Cinci even if both win out.
 
Voltaire said:
Georgia/Alabama
Michigan/ohio state
Cincinnati
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State

All these teams have their own fate in their hands
Click to expand...
UGA is in, win or lose.
Bama is in with a win, might be in even if they lose, depending on the score and what happens with B12 and Cincy. Hate that, but it's true.
The B1G winner is in, so long as it's not from the West.
Really boils down to what happens in the B12, and then how they compare to Cincy and a 2 loss Bama.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
UGA is in, win or lose.
Bama is in with a win, might be in even if they lose, depending on the score and what happens with B12 and Cincy. Hate that, but it's true.
The B1G winner is in, so long as it's not from the West.
Really boils down to what happens in the B12, and then how they compare to Cincy and a 2 loss Bama.
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If Bama gets in with two losses and supplants Cinci or the b12 champ, it really is time to boycott this years cfp
 
If Bama gets in with two losses and supplants Cinci or the b12 champ, it really is time to boycott this years cfp
Hell. If UGA loses the CCG, they shouldn’t get in over a one loss b12 champ. This sec sycophancy needs to stop.
 
I honestly hope a 2 loss Bama gets in

Bama getting preferential treatment in 2011 is what finally pushed us to 4 teams

It happening again this year gets us to 8 or 12 asap

Progress always takes something like that happening to provide the impetus
 
ELTEXAN said:
If Bama gets in with two losses and supplants Cinci or the b12 champ, it really is time to boycott this years cfp
Hell. If UGA loses the CCG, they shouldn’t get in over a one loss b12 champ. This sec sycophancy needs to stop.
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So, UGA that was no. 1 for over half the season, in the toughest conference, loses to the no. 2 team which will then become the no. 1 team. And UGA then drops all the way to 5 behind other teams that had at least one worse loss, it just happened earlier in the season? That seems to be what you are saying. Haven't seen the rules that says late conf champ losses are worse than early losses.

You seem to not understand that the mission is the best 4, not conference champs. If you don't think that UGA is one of the best 4 teams, you don't understand college football.

As for boycotting the CFP, not need to concern yourself with that ... Texas has been doing that for years. All kidding aside, if Bama gets in with 2 losses, over some 1 loss CCs, we will see the 12 team CFP by 2023.
 
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