The path is there

NewPhoneWhoDis said:
@ralphiewvu I stand corrected. There is a way Oregon makes it to the CFP. It involves a time machine though and attempting to erase losses
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Why didn’t you quote my other account OD too?

You are slipping new Michigan fan
 
ralphiewvu said:
Disagree, Oregon could potentially sneak in. They would have a conference championship and not the most recent loss.
Oregon is likely jumping Ohio state and definitely jumping Ole Miss and the B12 loser if they win. This isn’t a computer choosing, it’s humans. The scenario also has 4 teams (theB12 loser included).

Again I’m not saying it’s likely or it’s even close to the 43% OD did, but saying it’s 0% when it’s likely the #10 team wining while 4 teams in front of them lose and another 3 don’t play is stupid to call impossible to reach the top 4.
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Yes -- you are right and the program written to account for every possible scenario and give out the odds of it happening has Oregon at 0%, but random guy on the internet obviously knows more than any computer, who I'm sure didn't take into account quality wins, quality losses, strength of schedule, etc etc.

But yeah - you are definitely right😂
 
projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2021 College Football Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Have at it. Oregon's got a chance
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
Yes -- you are right and the program written to account for every possible scenario and give out the odds of it happening has Oregon at 0%, but random guy on the internet obviously knows more than any computer, who I'm sure didn't take into account quality wins, quality losses, strength of schedule, etc etc.

But yeah - you are definitely right😂
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Tell us again how a #10 ranked team wins then has 4 people lose in front of them while 3 don’t play and it’s still IMPOSSIBLE for said #10 to make it.

Come on new Michigan fan, Mr possibility maker…..
 
I'll love it if the committee reveals the Ducks at like 8th tonight. 4 teams ahead of Oregon loses and Oregon wins and somehow Oregon has zero chance?
 
OregonDucks said:
ESPN probably has Ole Miss with higher odds of getting into the playoffs then Oregon because SEC on ESPN
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Both are sitting at all 0's, but Ole Miss has a better argument. They have beaten 2 ranked teams and both losses are to ranked teams. Oregon has only beaten 1 ranked team and lost to 1 ranked team and one 3-9 Stanford team.

Rematches ALWAYS favor the team that lost. Beating Utah in a second attempt does not look as good as you might think it does.
 
ralphiewvu said:
A #10 team moving up 6 spots after a win and 4 people in front of them lose while 3 don’t play and you say IMPOSSIBLE!!

It’s cute you need to go to this burner account bullshit. Continue to pretend you know college football and then open your mouth and I’ll continue to laugh.
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It'd be possible for the #10 team to jump up to the top 4, just not Oregon, because:

1. They didn't have the worst loss of any team in the CFP consideration - Stanford

2. They didn't have the 2nd worst loss of any team in CFP consideration after being beat by 31 by 3 loss Utah.

3. If ND didn't already have a better record and just beat the Stanford, which Oregon lost to, by 40 points.

4. If Michigan didn't have two common opponents and beat both opponents way more convincingly than Oregon, on top of play in a much tougher conference and a much tougher schedule

5. If Cincy hadn't beaten ND by 10 at ND and of Cincy weren't playing a ranked team in the CCG, then I could see them bumping them -- but zero chance

6. If Oregon was playing one of the top 5 teams in the CCG -and they dominated them, that could shoot them up. Instead, they are the only team playing a 3 loss team

7. If Bama had 2 losses already -- I could see them jumping Bama, but a loss to Georgia isn't dropping Bama below Oregon, when Oregon's losses would be considered bad for middling G5 teams.

8. if Okie AND Baylor weren't both ranked ahead of Oregon already. So no matter who wins - Oregon isn't jumping one of them.

so to sum it up. Oregon has exactly 0% chance of getting to the top 4. No matter what each of your accounts say😂
 
OregonDucks said:
No taking into account performances on the field during the CCG and also overall eye test for the season.

Oregon's win over Ohio State AT Ohio State remains huge
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Yes, to Oregon it is huge. It is the only reason Oregon is ranked as high as they are. Beyond that one win, they have played and beaten nobody.

Aside from that Oregons best win has 5 losses.
 
Hey, have hope all you want. No chance Oregon is getting in.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
@ralphiewvu I stand corrected. There is a way Oregon makes it to the CFP. It involves a time machine though and attempting to erase losses
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This guy gets it.

Thanos Snap GIF by Marvel Studios
 
williewilliejuan said:
What if all of the teams ahead of them decide to go antiquing this weekend instead of playing football?
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Then they have a better chance at finding the Holy Grail than Oregon does of getting in the playoff.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
It'd be possible for the #10 team to jump up to the top 4, just not Oregon, because:

1. They didn't have the worst loss of any team in the CFP consideration - Stanford

2. They didn't have the 2nd worst loss of any team in CFP consideration after being beat by 31 by 3 loss Utah.

3. If ND didn't already have a better record and just beat the Stanford, which Oregon lost to, by 40 points.

4. If Michigan didn't have two common opponents and beat both opponents way more convincingly than Oregon, on top of play in a much tougher conference and a much tougher schedule

5. If Cincy hadn't beaten ND by 10 at ND and of Cincy weren't playing a ranked team in the CCG, then I could see them bumping them -- but zero chance

6. If Oregon was playing one of the top 5 teams in the CCG -and they dominated them, that could shoot them up. Instead, they are the only team playing a 3 loss team

7. If Bama had 2 losses already -- I could see them jumping Bama, but a loss to Georgia isn't dropping Bama below Oregon, when Oregon's losses would be considered bad for middling G5 teams.

8. if Okie AND Baylor weren't both ranked ahead of Oregon already. So no matter who wins - Oregon isn't jumping one of them.

so to sum it up. Oregon has exactly 0% chance of getting to the top 4. No matter what each of your accounts say😂
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EVERYONE HAS STRUGGLED.

EVERYONE BUT GEORGIA AND CINCY HAS LOST.

If teams are losing or don’t play in front of Oregon and Oregon wins there is absolutely a shot they make top 4.

With an Oregon win they are jumping
Ole Miss
Ohio state
B12 loser

Cincy with a loss is out.

BY YOUR OWN ADMISSION
ND is out if Cincy is out
No conference champ game loser makes it save Sec

So who the fuck is in if the scenario plays out? for once answer the question instead of being a complete retard on this.
 
OregonDucks said:
No taking into account performances on the field during the CCG and also overall eye test for the season.

Oregon's win over Ohio State AT Ohio State remains huge
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If Iowa beats UM -- it gives Iowa a better win than Oregon and they would have a MUCH BETTER conference championship title.
So yeah -- Iowa has a better shot than Oregon too even though both are 0
 
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