GAME #1 (playoff) Tennessee at #1 (AP) Georgia 2:30 ET on CBS

Volbound1700 said:
That is what scares me. I think Tennessee passes Michigan but likely not Ohio State. I think we need Ohio State to win that one.

To me, it isn't even about playoffs/National Title, it is about Georgia. Although WhosyourDoggy and Illustrious aren't bad, that fanbase is the worse. If we somehow beat them, that will shut them up.
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Excuse Me Reaction GIF by One Chicago
 
Illustrious Potentate said:
“Easily edges out”

But no, they don’t. 49-3 is too much to overcome, especially with no win over Bama on the resume
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No, they easily do.

12-1 with conference champ vs. 11-1 no champ wins every time.

Not even close.
 
michaeljordan_fan said:
No, they easily do.

12-1 with conference champ vs. 11-1 no champ wins every time.

Not even close.
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The Pac is worse than the AAC was when 11-1 Alabama got the nod over 12-0 UCF. 14 point loss to UGA>46 point loss to UGA
 
I'd like to report a murder ... I think our OL is coming into form.

 
Illustrious Potentate said:
It breaks my heart to see morons get their hopes up when they have zero chance. 49-3 eliminated y’all
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I am not saying Oregon will make it. If they win out and Southern Cal wins out and Oregon beats the Trojans down, what happens? Clemson and Alabama are going to be behind Oregon tonight in the rankings. Maybe Oregon ranked 6th. I know the years that Ohio State lost to Purdue and Iowa, that knocked them out.

Will the CFP look at the Oregon game against Georgia as well they could have scheduled UNLV and have a sure win?
I know it was the first game of the season. Will the CFP think of that beatdown, or how much Oregon has improved?
With Clemson and Alabama now behind Oregon, and many are sure that TCU is gonna lose, where will Oregon fit into that if they win out?
 
Collegefbfan said:
I am not saying Oregon will make it. If they win out and Southern Cal wins out and Oregon beats the Trojans down, what happens? Clemson and Alabama are going to be behind Oregon tonight in the rankings. Maybe Oregon ranked 6th. I know the years that Ohio State lost to Purdue and Iowa, that knocked them out.

Will the CFP look at the Oregon game against Georgia as well they could have scheduled UNLV and have a sure win?
I know it was the first game of the season. Will the CFP think of that beatdown, or how much Oregon has improved?
With Clemson and Alabama now behind Oregon, and many are sure that TCU is gonna lose, where will Oregon fit into that if they win out?
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At the end of the day Tennessee is gonna have a better loss and a better win. There’s a real chance the 4 playoffs teams are gonna be 2 SEC and 2 B1G teams this year
 
Illustrious Potentate said:
At the end of the day Tennessee is gonna have a better loss and a better win. There’s a real chance the 4 playoffs teams are gonna be 2 SEC and 2 B1G teams this year
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Barring total meltdowns of TCU, Oregon, UCLA, or USC, I can't see that happening. To the contrary, if you get a bunch of 1 loss CCs, I can see them going 4 different conferences just to avoid the 2 conf team scenario. Michigan is toast is they lose to tOSU ... their OOC is going to kill them.

But, if we have learned anything over the years, it's that the last 3 weeks will be wild with lots of twists and turns.
 
Illustrious Potentate said:
USC maybe. Oregon, no shot.
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That is EXACTLY what I told him. USC, being a blue blood, only loss would be to a late 2 point conversion to Utah. They could make an argument to get in over Tennessee. Oregon isn't getting in over Tennessee. I don't care if they win the PAC. Tennessee's wins over Bama and LSU are light years better than any win Oregon has and while Tennessee lost to Georgia -- they at least looked like they belonged on the same field. When Georgia played Oregon, it looked like a varsity team playing a freshman team.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
Barring total meltdowns of TCU, Oregon, UCLA, or USC, I can't see that happening. To the contrary, if you get a bunch of 1 loss CCs, I can see them going 4 different conferences just to avoid the 2 conf team scenario. Michigan is toast is they lose to tOSU ... their OOC is going to kill them.

But, if we have learned anything over the years, it's that the last 3 weeks will be wild with lots of twists and turns.
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To be honest, I think the 2 B1G and 2 SEC teams is very likely. The reason being...

I have 0 faith in TCU going unbeaten.

I also really don't think Oregon and USC go through the season and win out. I think both have losses coming: USC to either UCLA or Notre Dame and Oregon in the Pac12 Championship game.

Oregon also has to play Washington, Utah, and Oregon State in a role. Fortunately the first two are in Autzen.

Oregon has the best chance of the Pac12 teams to win out but there is still a lot of football left to play.

If the Pac12 does NOT have a 1-loss champion and TCU loses, it is very likely the B1G and SEC get 2 teams.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
That is EXACTLY what I told him. USC, being a blue blood, only loss would be to a late 2 point conversion to Utah. They could make an argument to get in over Tennessee. Oregon isn't getting in over Tennessee. I don't care if they win the PAC. Tennessee's wins over Bama and LSU are light years better than any win Oregon has and while Tennessee lost to Georgia -- they at least looked like they belonged on the same field. When Georgia played Oregon, it looked like a varsity team playing a freshman team.
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To win out, Oregon would have to beat Washington, Utah, Oregon State, and the Pac12 Championship against either UCLA or USC. That will give them a lot more street cred if they survive it. I could see them passing Tennessee.

However, it will be mute if TCU loses (which I see happening). In that scenario, here is the 4 teams:

1. Georgia
2. Ohio State/Michigan
3. Oregon
4. Tennessee

There is room for Pac12 Champion and Tennessee if TCU loses. The main scenario that could mess things up for Tennessee is Ohio State losing a close game to Michigan and Ohio State getting media love to have them in over Tennessee. I don't think Michigan gets enough media love to pass Tennessee, especially with soft OOC schedule but Ohio State will get that love.
 
Volbound1700 said:
To win out, Oregon would have to beat Washington, Utah, Oregon State, and the Pac12 Championship against either UCLA or USC. That will give them a lot more street cred if they survive it. I could see them passing Tennessee.

However, it will be mute if TCU loses (which I see happening). In that scenario, here is the 4 teams:

1. Georgia
2. Ohio State/Michigan
3. Oregon
4. Tennessee

There is room for Pac12 Champion and Tennessee if TCU loses. The main scenario that could mess things up for Tennessee is Ohio State losing a close game to Michigan and Ohio State getting media love to have them in over Tennessee. I don't think Michigan gets enough media love to pass Tennessee, especially with soft OOC schedule but Ohio State will get that love.
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It will all play out. I think with Clemson and Bama losing -- it opened the door for Tennessee again.

Personally I want to see total and utter chaos. I want to see Tennessee lose again, I was to see TCU lose, I want to see Oregon lose, I want to see Clemson lose. I want all these teams with 2 losses, as Michigan playing OSU is going to be a tough game to win with it being on the road at the Toilet.

I want every possible chance to sneak into the CFP, even if it is sliding in as a 1 loss non-conference champ. Now if Michigan beats OSU -- I hope everything stays status quo and OSU is left on the outside. Just because it would be fun listening to their fans calling for Ryan Day's head.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
It will all play out. I think with Clemson and Bama losing -- it opened the door for Tennessee again.

Personally I want to see total and utter chaos. I want to see Tennessee lose again, I was to see TCU lose, I want to see Oregon lose, I want to see Clemson lose. I want all these teams with 2 losses, as Michigan playing OSU is going to be a tough game to win with it being on the road at the Toilet.

I want every possible chance to sneak into the CFP, even if it is sliding in as a 1 loss non-conference champ. Now if Michigan beats OSU -- I hope everything stays status quo and OSU is left on the outside. Just because it would be fun listening to their fans calling for Ryan Day's head.
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I actually think 2 B1G and 2 SEC teams are most likely scenario.

Pac12 teams have a lot of football left to play and games they could lose.

The Pac12 team that has the easiest road to 1-loss is UCLA ironically. They got the softer schedule left vs both USC and Oregon. After watching USC again this weekend, I am not sure they are really that great. I can see them finishing 9-3 with losses to UCLA and Notre Dame.
 
Regarding Tennessee, it is possibly they can lose but highly unlikely. The three SEC teams they have left are all worse than anyone they have played to date in the SEC.

Missouri - They have a good enough defense to cause some problems for Tennessee but their offense is not that good and it is in Knoxville. I think Missouri could keep it interesting for a little bit but I just don't see Tennessee losing this one without an epic collapse and turnovers

@ South Carolina - South Carolina's defense is not as good as Georgia, Kentucky, Missouri or frankly anyone not named Akron, Ball State, and Samford that Tennessee has played. However, if South Carolina can get as loud as Athens this past weekend, if their defense can play great, Tennessee's offense play bad, and Spencer Rattler live up to his 5 star hype and have a game similar to Bryce Young's game against Tennessee, they can win. A lot to ask for there but I guess it could happen.

@ Vanderbilt - Not only are they bad but 95% of the stands will be filled with Orange. It will be practically a home game on the road for Tennessee. I don't think you can even create a scenario were Vanderbilt wins. Tennessee could start Joe Milton and win this game.

Out of the three above, perhaps Missouri has the best chance and they are playing in Knoxville. It doesn't look good. It could happen.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
That is EXACTLY what I told him. USC, being a blue blood, only loss would be to a late 2 point conversion to Utah. They could make an argument to get in over Tennessee. Oregon isn't getting in over Tennessee. I don't care if they win the PAC. Tennessee's wins over Bama and LSU are light years better than any win Oregon has and while Tennessee lost to Georgia -- they at least looked like they belonged on the same field. When Georgia played Oregon, it looked like a varsity team playing a freshman team.
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I fully expect Oregon to lose a game before the end of the season.
With that said, USC is ranked higher than LSU, so a win over USC is comparable (in the eyes of the committee). Similarly, beating down UCLA is a comparable win (in the eyes of the committee).

If Oregon continues to win, there's a real shot they flip over Tennessee before the CCG due to the strong remaining schedule. After you add the CCG, they will obviously be in over UT.
 
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