I'll be paying attention to the classic and Juvenile. Will post line up shortly
Breeders Cup
- Thread starter psaboy
- Start date
Juvenile
Post
Horse/Best Beyer
Trainer/Jockey
1
Camp Hope
Ken McPeek/Robby Albarado
30-1
Looked OK in that two-turn debut at Churchill, but he would be running back in just 12 days
2
King Fury
Ken McPeek/Brian Hernandez, Jr.
30-1
Rebounded from a poor effort behind Essential Quality to win a minor stakes at CD; this is a lot tougher
3
Reinvestment Risk
Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz, Jr.
5-1
Have to respect those 90+ Beyers, and note that he's been well clear of 3rd place when chasing home Jackie's Warrior
4
Likeable
Todd Pletcher/John Velazquez
20-1
Exits a strong maiden win at Belmont, but this is an ambitious spot for his first start against winners
5
Essential Quality
Brad Cox/Luis Saez
4-1
Relished added ground in the Breeders' Futurity over this track; must improve again if he's to upset the favorite
6
Keepmeinmind
Robertino Diodoro/Jose Ortiz
20-1
Got a decent trip when 2nd in the Breeders' Futurity at a huge price; maiden's best hope seems like a minor award
7
Jackie's Warrior
Steven Asmussen/Joel Rosario
7-5
Undefeated colt looks like something special; must answer the two-turn question, but nothing has bothered him yet
8
Classier
Bob Baffert/Florent Geroux
15-1
Impressive debut winner wasn't beating much, but looked good; many hurdles as he wheels back in just 13 days
9
Sittin On Go
Dale Romans/Corey Lanerie
10-1
Showed massive improvement when upsetting the Iroquois at 24-1; figures to get some pace to close into
10
Dreamer's Disease
Robertino Diodoro/David Cohen
30-1
Has been dangerous when allowed an uncontested early lead; that's not going to happen here
11
Next
Wesley Ward/Gerardo Corrales
20-1
Registered an 11-plus-length victory over this course and distance last time, but did so against vastly inferior company
12
Hot Rod Charlie
Doug O'Neill/Tyler Gaffalione
50-1
Half-brother to Mitole didn't mind the added distance at Santa Anita last time; this would be a very ambitious spot
13
Rombauer
Michael McCarthy/Javier Castellano
15-1
Appreciated the switch to dirt in the American Pharoah; this is a much tougher spot, but he still has room to improve
14
Calibrate
Steven Asmussen/Ricardo Santana, Jr.
30-1
Had legitimate trouble in the Breeders' Futurity, getting continually shuffled back; perhaps deserves another chance
Post
Horse/Best Beyer
Trainer/Jockey
1
Camp Hope
Ken McPeek/Robby Albarado
30-1
Looked OK in that two-turn debut at Churchill, but he would be running back in just 12 days
2
King Fury
Ken McPeek/Brian Hernandez, Jr.
30-1
Rebounded from a poor effort behind Essential Quality to win a minor stakes at CD; this is a lot tougher
3
Reinvestment Risk
Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz, Jr.
5-1
Have to respect those 90+ Beyers, and note that he's been well clear of 3rd place when chasing home Jackie's Warrior
4
Likeable
Todd Pletcher/John Velazquez
20-1
Exits a strong maiden win at Belmont, but this is an ambitious spot for his first start against winners
5
Essential Quality
Brad Cox/Luis Saez
4-1
Relished added ground in the Breeders' Futurity over this track; must improve again if he's to upset the favorite
6
Keepmeinmind
Robertino Diodoro/Jose Ortiz
20-1
Got a decent trip when 2nd in the Breeders' Futurity at a huge price; maiden's best hope seems like a minor award
7
Jackie's Warrior
Steven Asmussen/Joel Rosario
7-5
Undefeated colt looks like something special; must answer the two-turn question, but nothing has bothered him yet
8
Classier
Bob Baffert/Florent Geroux
15-1
Impressive debut winner wasn't beating much, but looked good; many hurdles as he wheels back in just 13 days
9
Sittin On Go
Dale Romans/Corey Lanerie
10-1
Showed massive improvement when upsetting the Iroquois at 24-1; figures to get some pace to close into
10
Dreamer's Disease
Robertino Diodoro/David Cohen
30-1
Has been dangerous when allowed an uncontested early lead; that's not going to happen here
11
Next
Wesley Ward/Gerardo Corrales
20-1
Registered an 11-plus-length victory over this course and distance last time, but did so against vastly inferior company
12
Hot Rod Charlie
Doug O'Neill/Tyler Gaffalione
50-1
Half-brother to Mitole didn't mind the added distance at Santa Anita last time; this would be a very ambitious spot
13
Rombauer
Michael McCarthy/Javier Castellano
15-1
Appreciated the switch to dirt in the American Pharoah; this is a much tougher spot, but he still has room to improve
14
Calibrate
Steven Asmussen/Ricardo Santana, Jr.
30-1
Had legitimate trouble in the Breeders' Futurity, getting continually shuffled back; perhaps deserves another chance
Classic
Post
Horse/Best Beyer
Trainer/Jockey
1
Tacitus
Bill Mott/Jose Ortiz
12-1
Much-maligned gray earned $2.9 million falling short of parimutuel expectations, he's a longshot this time
2
Tiz the Law
Barclay Tagg/Manny Franco
4-1
Country's top 3yo despite runner-up Derby, nine weeks between starts is ideal, inside draw not so great
3
By My Standards
Bret Calhoun/Gabriel Saez
10-1
One-two finishes all nine starts on "fast," but manhandled in summer by Improbable and Tom's d'Etat
4
Tom's d'Etat
Al Stall Jr./Joel Rosario
6-1
Even-money misfire when he stumbled in G1 Whitney; 7yo would be first Classic winner older than 5yo
5
Title Ready
Dallas Stewart/Corey Lanerie
30-1
Pick-up-the-pieces late runner seemingly outclassed, could clunk up for a small share if pace collapses
6
Higher Power
John Sadler/Flavien Prat
12-1
Third in 2019 BC Classic culminated outstanding campaign, but in 2020 seems to be running on treadmill
7
Global Campaign
Stanley Hough/Javier Castellano
20-1
Took advantage of slow pace to wire G1 Woodward vs. suspect field, not likely same trip vs. tougher foes
8
Improbable
Bob Baffert/Irad Ortiz, Jr.
3-1
Blossomed at age 4, three straight dominating G1 victories, starting-gate miscues apparently behind him
9
Authentic
Bob Baffert/John Velazquez
9-2
Derby winner's slow-pace strategy backfired in Preakness, likely pacesetter runs best when he rolls early
10
Maximum Security
Bob Baffert/Luis Saez
5-1
Star-crossed colt faced 97 rivals, finished in front of 95, likely to be positioned second behind Authentic
Post
Horse/Best Beyer
Trainer/Jockey
1
Tacitus
Bill Mott/Jose Ortiz
12-1
Much-maligned gray earned $2.9 million falling short of parimutuel expectations, he's a longshot this time
2
Tiz the Law
Barclay Tagg/Manny Franco
4-1
Country's top 3yo despite runner-up Derby, nine weeks between starts is ideal, inside draw not so great
3
By My Standards
Bret Calhoun/Gabriel Saez
10-1
One-two finishes all nine starts on "fast," but manhandled in summer by Improbable and Tom's d'Etat
4
Tom's d'Etat
Al Stall Jr./Joel Rosario
6-1
Even-money misfire when he stumbled in G1 Whitney; 7yo would be first Classic winner older than 5yo
5
Title Ready
Dallas Stewart/Corey Lanerie
30-1
Pick-up-the-pieces late runner seemingly outclassed, could clunk up for a small share if pace collapses
6
Higher Power
John Sadler/Flavien Prat
12-1
Third in 2019 BC Classic culminated outstanding campaign, but in 2020 seems to be running on treadmill
7
Global Campaign
Stanley Hough/Javier Castellano
20-1
Took advantage of slow pace to wire G1 Woodward vs. suspect field, not likely same trip vs. tougher foes
8
Improbable
Bob Baffert/Irad Ortiz, Jr.
3-1
Blossomed at age 4, three straight dominating G1 victories, starting-gate miscues apparently behind him
9
Authentic
Bob Baffert/John Velazquez
9-2
Derby winner's slow-pace strategy backfired in Preakness, likely pacesetter runs best when he rolls early
10
Maximum Security
Bob Baffert/Luis Saez
5-1
Star-crossed colt faced 97 rivals, finished in front of 95, likely to be positioned second behind Authentic
For Juvenile, doing a 5,7/3,5,7,9 exact wheel
Long shots/price values to consider; 4,8,11 & 13. I just don't see Jackie's Warrior (#7) or Essential Quality (#5) to not take the race, I would take #5 over #7 mainly due to two turn factor, Essential Quality has a W at Keenland with two turn race, Jackie's Warrior has yet to run one of those.
May add a more of a long shot exacta combo as race gets close to post
Long shots/price values to consider; 4,8,11 & 13. I just don't see Jackie's Warrior (#7) or Essential Quality (#5) to not take the race, I would take #5 over #7 mainly due to two turn factor, Essential Quality has a W at Keenland with two turn race, Jackie's Warrior has yet to run one of those.
May add a more of a long shot exacta combo as race gets close to post