Vegas giving Tennessee no respect? (+7.5)

Init Thoughs
- Two great defenses going H2H
- OSU home field advantage (+3/+4 edge right there)
- Nico has gotten better over the season but I still give the edge to Howard in this game
- Biggest factor: OSU WRs and having more answers on offense to move the ball

I'm comfortable taking OSU in pick'ems. Probably wouldn't touch them at -7.5 but I can see under 47 as a play
 
Vegas isn't going to set a number that far off to start just to get 50/50 action. The bets coming from a schools fan base doesn't set the number as much as the sharps do. They won't expose themselves to a bad number early. To suggest they would set a number 4 points off, just because of some fan base bettors, is dumb. There is too much exposure from sharps and syndicate bettors for that shit.
 
Peter Gozintite said:
Vegas isn't going to set a number that far off to start just to get 50/50 action. The bets coming from a schools fan base doesn't set the number as much as the sharps do. They won't expose themselves to a bad number early. To suggest they would set a number 4 points off, just because of some fan base bettors, is dumb. There is too much exposure from sharps and syndicate bettors for that shit.
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100%.. Vegas has also been known to take positions on games, when they think public is pissing money away.. always like to look at where the public money is going.

Line is more reflective of the QB situation. Nico has some crazy vol. Good Nico and I like Tenn. Bad Nico and I like OSU to cover. Just need someone to tell me how Nico will play.
 
Red_Alert said:
The government uses a lot of acronyms.

Is maze&blew a gubmint employee working from home (since covid) in his robe and fuzzy slippers?

www.justice.gov

U.S. Government Acronym List

www.justice.gov www.justice.gov
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I hate working from home, would never take a job where I was remote. I only occasionally do if a kid is sick. Every single entity I've ever worked for uses a ton of acronyms. I'd say the corporate world is even more guilty of it.
 
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TaikoTiger said:
Init Thoughs
- Two great defenses going H2H
- OSU home field advantage (+3/+4 edge right there)
- Nico has gotten better over the season but I still give the edge to Howard in this game
- Biggest factor: OSU WRs and having more answers on offense to move the ball

I'm comfortable taking OSU in pick'ems. Probably wouldn't touch them at -7.5 but I can see under 47 as a play
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If the weather is complete shit the "homefield advantage" is really a disadvantage for this squad with a MASH unit OL.

Cold is fine but if its really windy or rain/snow that would screw us.
 
Red_Alert said:
How so?

Scaring gamblers away from betting tOSU won't split the bets 50/50.
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Ohio fans are never betting against Ohio. So the line is trying to entice people to take Tennessee. Once they get 'X' bet on Tennessee -- they know the bets will pour in on Ohio if they drop the line to say 6.5.
 
Tenn wins by 12

I GARRONTEE
 
Tennessee is almost as much of a second half team as UGA, so there’s a chance the game gets away from them early, but with that said, we all know Cryin’ Days’ track record in big games
 
I could see OSU winning this game similarly to how they beat Indiana, who is oddly a very good comparison for Tennessee. They both have identical efficiency ratings.

Both rely heavily on the run game (Tennessee has one lead dog while Indiana has two, but the production per carry and scoring are nearly identical). Rourke is a better passer than Nico and take way fewer sacks, but Nico gets the edge athletically. Indiana gets the edge at WR but slightly. Both have very stingy scoring defenses but have shown to be vulnerable at times. It's not that outrageous of a line honestly.
 
Across The Field said:
I could see OSU winning this game similarly to how they beat Indiana, who is oddly a very good comparison for Tennessee. They both have identical efficiency ratings.

Both rely heavily on the run game (Tennessee has one lead dog while Indiana has two, but the production per carry and scoring are nearly identical). Rourke is a better passer than Nico and take way fewer sacks, but Nico gets the edge athletically. Indiana gets the edge at WR but slightly. Both have very stingy scoring defenses but have shown to be vulnerable at times. It's not that outrageous of a line honestly.
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Crazy part about this game. I would like Ohio better if the game was going to be played at Tennessee.
I heard, not sure if this is accurate, but this was being played at night at Ohio?!? So it will be crazy cold (like 20 degrees) and likely windy, as the cold/wind goes hand and hand in the Midwest.
Ohio is not a physical running team, where they will line up and run it at you between the tackles. If the weather makes throwing tough on the QB and WRs -- I think Tennessee is built much better for that type of game.

Weather will determine this game I think. If Ohio is able to give the QB time to throw and the weather allows it. I think Ohio wins. If it is really cold and passing is tough -- I think Tennessee is the more physical team and they will control the line of scrimmage. So Tennessee will take it if the weather plays a part.
 
Meh home team is usually good for 3 point difference. Throw in UT has the RS Frosh QB on the road and… I can see where they are coming from.

Still tho… Vols by fiddy
 
CoalTrain said:
Meh home team is usually good for 3 point difference. Throw in UT has the RS Frosh QB on the road and… I can see where they are coming from.

Still tho… Vols by fiddy
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You don't need a QB to beat Ohio. Our QB threw for 60 yards and 2 int's. We still got the W.

The weather is really going to favor Tennessee. If it was warm weather -- Ohio could really get Jeremiah Smith going on the outside. Right now -- it shows a high of 27 degrees for the 21st, with a low of 17 degrees. So it will be around 18-20 degrees at game time. It will give the team who can line it up and run the ball an edge.

Ohio has two great backs, but they don't have the OL. Tennessee has a really good DL, so if they can win that matchup with Ohio -- they have a great shot at the game.

I think this game will be the best game on the 1st matchups.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
Crazy part about this game. I would like Ohio better if the game was going to be played at Tennessee.
I heard, not sure if this is accurate, but this was being played at night at Ohio?!? So it will be crazy cold (like 20 degrees) and likely windy, as the cold/wind goes hand and hand in the Midwest.
Ohio is not a physical running team, where they will line up and run it at you between the tackles. If the weather makes throwing tough on the QB and WRs -- I think Tennessee is built much better for that type of game.

Weather will determine this game I think. If Ohio is able to give the QB time to throw and the weather allows it. I think Ohio wins. If it is really cold and passing is tough -- I think Tennessee is the more physical team and they will control the line of scrimmage. So Tennessee will take it if the weather plays a part.
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The high that day is like 45, so it'll likely be high 30s by game time. Not a big deal. Tennessee also hasn't faced any truly tough run defenses this year, so we'll see. Comparing them to Indiana seems pretty logical overall, so OSU should handle them if they play their game.
 
Across The Field said:
The high that day is like 45, so it'll likely be high 30s by game time. Not a big deal. Tennessee also hasn't faced any truly tough run defenses this year, so we'll see. Comparing them to Indiana seems pretty logical overall, so OSU should handle them if they play their game.
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IMG_4073.jpeg
Not sure where you are looking, but everywhere I've looked has it being really cold.

Also have no clue why you are using Indiana as a comp. Tennessee faced Georgia and Bama this year. Their RB Sampson ran for 100+ and over 5.0 YPC in both games. Tennessee ran for 150 on Georgia and over 200 on Bama. Tennessee also has a real good OL, which is loaded with upper class men and anchored by an all-American in Mays.

Indiana played Ohio and Michigan. Indiana ran for like 50 yards on 25 carries against Michigan. I don't know what they ran for against Ohio, but it probably wasn't much more. So again, confused how Indiana is comparable to Tennessee.
 
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