Way Too Early 2025 CFP Prediction

Come on, let's get serious about picking next year's teams!

12. Boston College
5. Arizona State

9. Vanderbilt
8. Indiana

7. Louisville
10. New Mexico

11. Ole Miss
6. Michigan

4. Duke
3. Oregon State
2. Baylor
1. South Carolina
 
OlyDuck said:
What do you mean again? its never happened.

Also im pretty sure everyone was saying they were always gonna be the 12 seed every year. and in year 1 that didnt happen
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It happened with Cincy in 2021.

Yes, everyone was saying the G5 would be 12. No one saw the B12 being what they were. Lots changed when the conferences expanded.

I guess I wasn't clear - BSU got ranked highly, quickly, and then kept winning. Because the committee still looks at number of losses first, they were not in a position to drop them. I don't think they will do that in the future. I think this was a one-off because BSU played Oregon tough to start the year, and then had Jenty who got a ton of attention.

All I am doing is looking at the history of the playoffs.
 
Deep Creek said:
A couple of P2 conference champs didn’t do very well after receiving their byes. (Neither did the other two.)

But yeah, if they are going to use byes and home field as incentives/rewards, then the best four period should be receive them.
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It depends on what they are an incentive for. If they are an incentive for being one of the best four teams, however that is determined, you are correct. But that is not what the system was designed to do. The system in place today makes the byes an incentive to win your conference.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
It happened with Cincy in 2021.

Yes, everyone was saying the G5 would be 12. No one saw the B12 being what they were. Lots changed when the conferences expanded.

I guess I wasn't clear - BSU got ranked highly, quickly, and then kept winning. Because the committee still looks at number of losses first, they were not in a position to drop them. I don't think they will do that in the future. I think this was a one-off because BSU played Oregon tough to start the year, and then had Jenty who got a ton of attention.

All I am doing is looking at the history of the playoffs.
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Just giving the BYEs to the top 4 is the obvious fix. This prevents meh teams from stealing BYEs because of conferences taking a complete shit like the ACC and Big 12 this year.

They might as well just go to 16 and do away with BYEs all together. I think we likely see that within 5 years.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
It depends on what they are an incentive for. If they are an incentive for being one of the best four teams, however that is determined, you are correct. But that is not what the system was designed to do. The system in place today makes the byes an incentive to win your conference.
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And it would be fine if all conferences were of the same quality. And it may need to stay that way because of unbalanced schedules that can show up in the more difficult conferences. I'd rather it go to the best four teams but................
 
osubuckeye89 said:
Just giving the BYEs to the top 4 is the obvious fix. This prevents meh teams from stealing BYEs because of conferences taking a complete shit like the ACC and Big 12 this year.

They might as well just go to 16 and do away with BYEs all together. I think we likely see that within 5 years.
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I agree that is who they should go to. Unless one of them has one of those weak ass unbalanced schedules in these big conferences. What about a team from the B1G or SEC has a soft in conference schedule, slides into the CCG and pulls one off? Is that really any better than playing an ACC or Big 12 type schedule?
 
Deep Creek said:
Reckon he’s tired of “playing school”?
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Lots of money to be played in school, but more in the NFL if he is listening to the wrong people. I don't think Ewers is a top 3 round pick. Could someone end up taking him? Sure, but he's more a 4th or 5th round talent. NIL will pay more than 4th or 5th round contract will in the first year.
 
Deep Creek said:
I agree that is who they should go to. Unless one of them has one of those weak ass unbalanced schedules in these big conferences. What about a team from the B1G or SEC has a soft in conference schedule, slides into the CCG and pulls one off? Is that really any better than playing an ACC or Big 12 type schedule?
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This is what you get with these gigantic conferences. The unbalanced schedules. You're gonna get Indiana type teams who are able to bust out 10/11 win seasons because they just got the luck of the draw when it comes to scheduling. Is it "fair" to punish them for that is the debate.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
Just giving the BYEs to the top 4 is the obvious fix. This prevents meh teams from stealing BYEs because of conferences taking a complete shit like the ACC and Big 12 this year.

They might as well just go to 16 and do away with BYEs all together. I think we likely see that within 5 years.
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Look, I agree if the goal is to give the 4 byes to the best teams. That's what I pointed out in my post. But, that's now what they are incentivizing. The byes go to conference champs because (1) they play an extra game along with the losers, and it's better to reward the winners than the losers, and (2) you can't give the byes to teams that stayed at home. Notre Dame should never, ever get a bye. They would then get an extra week with no conference championship and then the time from the bye. Nor should a team that might not have played in the conference championship at all.
 
Deep Creek said:
And it would be fine if all conferences were of the same quality. And it may need to stay that way because of unbalanced schedules that can show up in the more difficult conferences. I'd rather it go to the best four teams but................
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That has been mentioned by many ... when the current setup was announced, there were 5 Power Conferences, and they were all close enough in talent that it was highly likely the top 4 would all be good - UGA/Bama/LSU, TX/OU, USC/Ore/UDub, tOSU/UM/PSU, Clem/FSU/Miami. Things obviously changed a lot.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
Look, I agree if the goal is to give the 4 byes to the best teams. That's what I pointed out in my post. But, that's now what they are incentivizing. The byes go to conference champs because (1) they play an extra game along with the losers, and it's better to reward the winners than the losers, and (2) you can't give the byes to teams that stayed at home. Notre Dame should never, ever get a bye. They would then get an extra week with no conference championship and then the time from the bye. Nor should a team that might not have played in the conference championship at all.
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They 100% aren't getting rid of the stipulation that only conference champs can get BYEs, they absolutely want conference title games still to really matter, take that stipulation away and it definitely takes away from the CCGs. If they did that this year the B1G and SEC title games REALLY would not have mattered as much because all 4 teams woulda gotten BYEs anyway.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
Just giving the BYEs to the top 4 is the obvious fix. This prevents meh teams from stealing BYEs because of conferences taking a complete shit like the ACC and Big 12 this year.

They might as well just go to 16 and do away with BYEs all together. I think we likely see that within 5 years.
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I would be honestly shocked if this thing doesn’t go to 16 for 2026.
 
ralphiewvu said:
I would be honestly shocked if this thing doesn’t go to 16 for 2026.
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I think we will get 12 at least 1 more year. If the teams that got "robbed" woulda performed well in their bowl games I think the push woulda been hard, but they didn't so yea.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
I think we will get 12 at least 1 more year. If the teams that got "robbed" woulda performed well in their bowl games I think the push woulda been hard, but they didn't so yea.
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I'd rather have a team or two that a majority think was "screwed" than have a team or two that no one thinks belongs.
 
fordman84 said:
I'd rather have a team or two that a majority think was "screwed" than have a team or two that no one thinks belongs.
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Someone's always gonna claim someone got screwed, even when it goes to 16 teams. We've just gone from arguing what 1 loss team got "screwed" to what 3 loss team got "screwed"
 
Across The Field said:
247sports.com

College Football Playoff projections for 2025: Way-too-early matchup picks

Which teams will be playoff bound for next season?
247sports.com 247sports.com

1st round:
No. 12 Kansas State at No. 5 Oregon
No. 11 Michigan at No. 6 Notre Dame
No. 10 Miami at No. 7 LSU
No. 9 Georgia No. 8 Penn State

Quarterfinals:
Cotton Bowl: No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 4 UNLV
Orange Bowl: No. 6 Notre Dame vs. No. 3 Clemson
Sugar Bowl: No. 7 LSU vs. No. 2 Texas
Rose Bowl: No. 8 Penn State vs. No. 1 Ohio State

Semifinals:
Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Peach Bowl: Texas vs. Notre Dame

NCG: Ohio State vs. Texas

Final four looks a bit familiar
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Does Michigan and Ohio play next year? We must not if Ohio is the #1 Seed.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
Someone's always gonna claim someone got screwed, even when it goes to 16 teams. We've just gone from arguing what 1 loss team got "screwed" to what 3 loss team got "screwed"
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I mean every year with March Madness there is an attempt to claim someone was screwed but it falls on deaf ears considering 68 had a shot.
 
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