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The one item that has to be watched is fate of Pac12. If Pac12 dies and Big12 grabs teams from Pac12, they now have to navigate scheduling with 12+4 potential Pac12 teams + OU & Texas for two years. That is 18 teams.
Rumor is that the new Big12 AD is using OU/Texas situation to leverage a better contract from ESPN and letting OU and Texas exit early in return.
The one that will decide whether OU and Texas leaves early maybe fate of Pac12. IMO, Pac12 got a boost for surviving with expansion playoff. No way a Pac12 team makes it to playoffs prior to expansion but they are likely in after expansion. Pac12 will need to figure out how to get a semi-decent TV deal.
that makes no sense. Even if the Pac dies off it wont happen before all this takes place. more than likely time line would be like
USC/UCLA leave in 23
BIGXII adds 4 in 23
OU/TX leave BXII in 25 at the same time BXII adds any more Pac if they truly are dead.