Are you saying now that you didn't say 31 of 50 were from the south? I can go find the quote for you. Here you go.
Now it is your turn -- list the 31 from the south. I mean you went as far as to argue 62% of OL come from states in the South. So let's see the 31. I will give you a little help -- Francis Mauioga (sp) that plays for IMG, he was born in American Samoa lived in California for 15 years before transferring to IMG to play HS football, so he isn't one of the 31.
Let's keep in mind that what I was saying was that cold weather does matter because LOS - OL and DL are key to winning - and most come from the south. My original post was in response to a post dismissing the warm/cold issues so the relevancy of the south in my statement is the warm weather - I believe that a lot of these good LOS players aren't heading to the north partially because of weather.
Now, I admitted I can't prove it's the weather. And I don't think it's the only reason. Proximity to home, being closer to better teams in general also matter. But what I think I showed for sure is that more OL come from the south, and that there certainly is a trend for OL to move from north to south, and not the opposite - for the most part southern OL don't go north.
In defense of your position, you state that there are good OL at northern/midwestern schools. I never said that wasn't the case. Of course there are. But I clearly stated there aren't as many OL in the north and midwest, and I believe the numbers bear that out. For a team like Nebraska to recruit better at the LOS, they have to get OL from the south because there are a limited number of good ones from NE, and even the surrounding areas. And those that are there go to schools like tOSU, UM, PSU, Iowa, and ND. In most years, also Wisc, but evidently not this year.
You seem to be limiting the definition of south to the deep south. Because I was talking weather, I wasn't looking at it that way. So when looking at the top 50 OL in the 2023 class - a small sample size, I've stated that already - here is where I came up with.
- If you could read, you would see I had Francis Mauioga in the non-southern category. I get the idea that IMG is not the south and you need to look at their home town.
- I didn't include Pacific Islanders or Hawaii as south. I probably should have as I would imagine they would be more inclined to go to warmer schools.
- I didn't count Missouri or Virginia as southern schools. Virginia arguably could be, but I went the other way. Missouri I counted as a northern/midwestern school.
So, where did my numbers come from ...
In my post, I actually listed 20 that were non-south, but miscounted as 19:
Pacific Island, Iowa, Mass, Virginia, Ohio, Illinois, NJ, Penn, Utah, Conn, Maryland, DC, Michigan, and Hawaii. Again, for the purpose of discussing whether warm weather state recruits would go to cold weather schools, Pacific Island and Hawaii should actually be included in the other set of states.
For the southern, warm weather states, I included:
Louisiana, Tenn, NC, SC, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Texas, and Arizona. As I said, for a warm weather v. cold weather argument, Pacific Islander and Hawaii should be on this list, but I'll stick to my initial list.
Applying that to the top 50, it comes down to 30 on my southern/warm list, 20 on my northern/midwest/cold list.
You can agree or disagree with the lists, I don't care. I was one-off in my initial count. Sue me, I was in a hurry. It's still 60%/40%.
While that shows considerably more from the warm weather states, it's not the most important observation. What is important is in what direction the players are going. My theory is that warm-weather players don't go to cold states. Here is the breakdown:
20 cold weather OL, 12 are staying home (60%), and 8 are heading south (40%).
30 warm-weather OL, 24 are staying home (80%), 6 are heading north (20%). Of the 6, 4 are going ND or Northwestern (perhaps motivated by academics), one to MSU, and one to NE.
My point was that southern/warm weather OL do not go north. I believe I am correct. I've said I can't say to what level that is weather related, but my gut says it's a major reason.
At this point, I've explained it all I can. Don't care if you agree or not. Feel free to respond, I'm done with the argument as I've explained it the best I can.