Week 11 Playoff Projections

[osubuckeye89]

A team that can’t beat or even get close to beating Auburn or Florida is gonna have issues with the Maryland/Minnesota/Nebraska type teams as well.

 

[WhosYourDawggy]

What exactly is Texas body of work? You have yet to explain lol their biggest accomplishment so far is losing to Georgia.

I think I will just keep cutting and pasting this until you read it:

Read all my posts. I say exactly that about Texas in every post. Seeing as how I am the SEC voice here, you just aren't paying attention. I am the one saying that if Texas loses to ATM, they should be out of the CFP. Same with IU.

I've only posted about 100 times about Texas' weakass schedule. SMH.

 

[Big Al Rogorson]

My work associate who’s a Kentucky alum/SEC honks assures me that Kentucky would be at least a 10 win team if they played in the Big 10 though!

If KY had Indiana's or Penn State's schedule, yeah, I could see them winning 10.

 

[osubuckeye89]

If KY had Indiana's or Penn State's schedule, yeah, I could see them winning 10.

A team that loses badly to Auburn and Florida isn’t winning 10 games with any P4 schedule. This is ridiculous thought. Kentucky is a bad team it has nothing to do with their schedule.

 

[78Cyclones]

They would get killed by Iowa or Illinois.

5-4 with Indiana’s schedule is still pretty bad lol.

Maybe? Maybe not? UK did win @ Ole Miss, so they were good for at least a day! None of the 5-18 B1G teams have a win like that. Do you think any of the B1G teams want to see Ole Miss in the first round? Do you think Illinois or Iowa would win @ Ole Miss? My guess is probably not.

Yes, I agree that 5-4 by Indiana's schedule would be bad. I am definitely not in the Kentucky would win 10 games camp. I just think they would have a better record with Georgia and Tennessee removed from the schedule and replaced with any two of the other B1G teams outside of the top 4 of the B1G like IU has played this year.

Man, it has been awhile since this has happened in the B1G, but there is just such a B1G dropoff in the B1G after the top 4 teams. It's usually much deeper and tougher than it is this year. On top of that, ONLY Ohio State playing more than one of the other 3 top teams just makes it stick out more.

FWIW, I definitely appreciate that Ohio State played @ Oregon, @ Penn State and will play Indiana next week. Unfortunately, they are the only one of the top four to be tested more than one in B1G play.

 

[osubuckeye89]

Maybe? Maybe not? UK did win @ Ole Miss, so they were good for at least a day! None of the 5-18 B1G teams have a win like that. Do you think any of the B1G teams want to see Ole Miss in the first round? Do you think Illinois or Iowa would win @ Ole Miss? My guess is probably not.

Yes, I agree that 5-4 by Indiana's schedule would be bad. I am definitely not in the Kentucky would win 10 games camp. I just think they would have a better record with Georgia and Tennessee removed from the schedule and replaced with any two of the other B1G teams outside of the top 4 of the B1G like IU has played this year.

Man, it has been awhile since this has happened in the B1G, but there is just such a B1G dropoff in the B1G after the top 4 teams. It's usually much deeper and tougher than it is this year. On top of that, ONLY Ohio State playing more than one of the other 3 top teams just makes it stick out more.

FWIW, I definitely appreciate that Ohio State played @ Oregon, @ Penn State and will play Indiana next week. Unfortunately, they are the only one of the top four to be tested more than one in B1G play.

Bottom line is Kentucky is a bad team and that has absolutely nothing to do with their schedule.

 

[78Cyclones]

Bottom line is Kentucky is a bad team and that has absolutely nothing to do with their schedule.

Yes, I am not trying to pump up Kentucky Football. It is Basketball Season in the Commonwealth.

 

[Hu War Yu]

They try to seriously claim Kentucky as “not that bad of a loss” Kentucky lost by 14 to a shit Auburn team (at home) and by 28 to a equally shit Florida team. Besides somehow beating Ole Miss their best win is literally against Ohio lol.

Kentucky is almost always a bad loss. They're a basketball school, for cryin' out loud.

They played way over their heads twice this season, which happens for a lot of bad teams every year. They beat Ole Piss and they made Georgia look pedestrian. Both teams should be embarrassed about those games.

 

[osubuckeye89]

Kentucky is almost always a bad loss. They're a basketball school, for cryin' out loud.

They played way over their heads twice this season, which happens for a lot of bad teams every year. They beat Ole Piss and they made Georgia look pedestrian. Both teams should be embarrassed about those games.

Ole Miss also lost to LSU who is nowhere as good as their record is going to suggest.

 

[Hu War Yu]

Ole Miss also lost to LSU who is nowhere as good as their record is going to suggest.

There have been some crazy outcomes this year in the SEC. There just aren't any dominant teams. Still, watch them go nuts in the playoffs, whichever teams are in it.

 

[osubuckeye89]

There have been some crazy outcomes this year in the SEC. There just aren't any dominant teams. Still, watch them go nuts in the playoffs, whichever teams are in it.

This year is really wide open there’s not a single team I’d truly call elite. It’s just a mash up of good teams who all have glaring flaws at times .

 

[Hu War Yu]

This year is really wide open there’s not a single team I’d truly call elite. It’s just a mash up of good teams who all have glaring flaws at times .

Hopefully, that translates into some very competitive playoff games. No more 63-3 BS in the Semis or the Finals.

I always have fun pointing out that no team who has ever lost to the Gamecocks has played for a Natty in the same year. Texas A&M might actually do it this season.

 

[Big Al Rogorson]

A team that loses badly to Auburn and Florida isn’t winning 10 games with any P4 schedule. This is ridiculous thought. Kentucky is a bad team it has nothing to do with their schedule.

Give Auburn or Florida Indiana's or Penn State's schedule & they, too, could notch 10 wins.

 

[osubuckeye89]

Give Auburn or Florida Indiana's or Penn State's schedule & they, too, could notch 10 wins.

No, they would not.

 

[Hu War Yu]

Give Auburn or Florida Indiana's or Penn State's schedule & they, too, could notch 10 wins.

Auburn? Absolutely not. They lost to Cal-Berkeley and Oklahoma. They'd still be a .500 team in the B1G.

Florida? possibly, they have played tough a few times this season, notably taking Tennessee to overtime and leading Georgia for much of their game. They might win 6-8 games in the B1G.

JMO, FWIW.

 

[Brutus]

played for a Natty in the same year. Texas A&M might actually do it this season.

He said A&M might play in the Natty this year!

 

[Hu War Yu]

He said A&M might play in the Natty this year!

HAH! Let me clarify: getting into the field of 12 = "playing for the natty"

I doubt they'd get past the semis, but you best believe that however far they get, I'm going to remind them forever that they lost to us that year (just like I remind OSU fans that they've never beaten the Cocks)

 

[osubuckeye89]

Auburn? Absolutely not. They lost to Cal-Berkeley and Oklahoma. They'd still be a .500 team in the B1G.

Florida? possibly, they have played tough a few times this season, notably taking Tennessee to overtime and leading Georgia for much of their game. They might win 6-8 games in the B1G.

JMO, FWIW.

Florida if they were completely healthy i'd give maybe 7-5 with Indiana's schedule. Once again that's not saying much though

Kentucky and Auburn both 5-7 at best though with that schedule. At best.

 

[Across The Field]

But this is the exact reason the SEC is tougher than the B1G IMO. The B1G hasn't had any mid/lower level teams that have beaten the top dogs. They have top teams and then basically layups for those top teams. If some of those mid/lower teams would man up and upset the biggies sometimes, it would make the conference better and a lot more interesting IMHO. The Rutgers, Marylands, etc need to step up and pull off some win over OSU, Michigan and Penn State. At least this year Oregon and Indiana have joined the party.

Nah, not at all true. USC is 16th in the Big Ten standings and just benched their QB, yet they beat one of the "top dogs" in the SEC. Bama losing to Vandy and Ole Miss losing to Kentucky doesn't make the conference harder, it simply makes the "top dogs" not as good as you might have thought.

 

[Across The Field]

Agree, but I thought that idea that when we went to the 12 team CFP, and the B1G and the SEC grabbed all the good teams, was that we recognized that there are large disparities in win/loss status. I agree that there is no excuse for losing to lousier teams, but the idea has been to look at the "body of work" not just count losses because all W/L records aren't equal. It's really that simple, and yes, you should get docked if you lose to a bad team. But you should also get docked if you don't play any good teams. If that gets ignored, the SEC and the B1G will insist on 4 AQs with the 2 top byes being their CCs, and people will stop scheduling good OOC games. You think that Clemson is going to keep playing UGA if getting that loss every year means another ACC loss and they are out of the CFP?

Oh I get what you're saying, I'm not arguing that point. I'm simply saying you can't make the "body of work" argument seriously when your top teams are dropping games to shit tier teams. It makes you start questioning how good their seemingly stronger wins are honestly.