Let's see how long the 12 team CFP takes tp get here when this happens ...

Wild Turkey said:
It would depend on who Oregon lost to and how and how Ohio State finished.

If Ohio State improves each week and handles an undefeated Iowa pretty well it could be a compelling case.

Remember when Baylor beat TCU but TCU was still ranked higher with the same record?
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Fair
 
Rolltide94 said:
I'm clearly not a fan of the Pac-12, but how would you not take a 12-1 Oregon over a 12-1 Ohio State.
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That’s the UGA Clemson scenario. A lot depends on who that loss is to.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
That’s the UGA Clemson scenario. A lot depends on who that loss is to.
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The "good" thing about losing this early in the season is that its pretty much forgotten if you can cruise through the rest of the season without losing.

Another team losing in late October or sometime in November is much fresher in peoples minds.
 
Wild Turkey said:
It would depend on who Oregon lost to and how and how Ohio State finished.

If Ohio State improves each week and handles an undefeated Iowa pretty well it could be a compelling case.

Remember when Baylor beat TCU but TCU was still ranked higher with the same record?
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Baylor was ranked over TCU in 2014 in the final CFP ranking
 
There is little to no chance a 12-1 PAC-12 champ Oregon is left out in favor of Ohio State.

Furthermore, a 1-loss CCG winner has only been left out once. It is unlikely to happen again this year.
 
Deep Creek said:
There still isn't a "new member" to the CFP among those four.

We should start a pool to see who can pick the first "new" participant in the CFP.
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I call UCLA
 
michaeljordan_fan said:
There is little to no chance a 12-1 PAC-12 champ Oregon is left out in favor of Ohio State.

Furthermore, a 1-loss CCG winner has only been left out once. It is unlikely to happen again this year.
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It's mid September. Everyone still thinks every contender is going to win out. History tells us that is unlikely. A 12-1 PAC 12 Champion, especially if it's Oregon, will get in. I'm not worried about that.

My concern is about the 9 game PAC 12 schedule, I think it's very possible that Oregon ends the regular season with 2 losses still. They'll be favored the rest of the way but not by as much as some people think.
 
duckboy33 said:
It's mid September. Everyone still thinks every contender is going to win out. History tells us that is unlikely. A 12-1 PAC 12 Champion, especially if it's Oregon, will get in. I'm not worried about that.

My concern is about the 9 game PAC 12 schedule, I think it's very possible that Oregon ends the regular season with 2 losses still. They'll be favored the rest of the way but not by as much as some people think.
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Might be an underdog @UCLA depending on what happens between now and then
 
duckboy33 said:
If Oregon goes 12-1, they will almost certainly be in.
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It’s not a slam dunk.

If Bama and UGA are both 12-0 entering the SECCG, both are in regardless. If Clemson goes 12-1, their loss will be better than Oregon’s and they’ll get the benefit of the doubt, and then you have Oklahoma.
 
duckboy33 said:
It's mid September. Everyone still thinks every contender is going to win out. History tells us that is unlikely. A 12-1 PAC 12 Champion, especially if it's Oregon, will get in. I'm not worried about that.

My concern is about the 9 game PAC 12 schedule, I think it's very possible that Oregon ends the regular season with 2 losses still. They'll be favored the rest of the way but not by as much as some people think.
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To who though? Outside of UCLA nobody else on their schedule looks worth much

They play @ Stanford and @ Utah but those 2 definitely dont look very good to start.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
To who though? Outside of UCLA nobody else on their schedule looks worth much

They play @ Stanford and @ Utah but those 2 definitely dont look very good to start.
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Purdue? Iowa? Oh, wait, wrong team. Kidding aside, you get my point.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
To who though? Outside of UCLA nobody else on their schedule looks worth much

They play @ Stanford and @ Utah but those 2 definitely dont look very good to start.
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There's a lot of games that could be trickier than people think. Obviously UCLA will be tough. Stanford looked a lot better in week 2, I'm not writing them off after one bad game. Going into SLC and playing Utah is never easy, even after a road loss to BYU. Even Cal isn't far off from being 2-0 after playing 2 decent teams.

Go look at the Vegas lines for these games. Oregon is favored but they aren't 20 point favorites or anything. They're going to have some tough games.
 
duckboy33 said:
It's mid September. Everyone still thinks every contender is going to win out. History tells us that is unlikely. A 12-1 PAC 12 Champion, especially if it's Oregon, will get in. I'm not worried about that.

My concern is about the 9 game PAC 12 schedule, I think it's very possible that Oregon ends the regular season with 2 losses still. They'll be favored the rest of the way but not by as much as some people think.
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To the contrary, OP starts contains: "I get there is a ton of football to play" - we all understand that a lot will happen in the next 3 months.
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
To the contrary, OP starts contains: "I get there is a ton of football to play" - we all understand that a lot will happen in the next 3 months.
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Fair Point. My "everyone" really refers to a lot of Duck fans I know that are already talking about who Oregon will play in the CFP
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
Purdue? Iowa? Oh, wait, wrong team. Kidding aside, you get my point.
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I mean if they lost to Utah in late November they are likely not making the playoff. Regardless of who the teams they are put up with for a spot. Same way it went when Ohio State lost to Purdue/Iowa.
 
Illustrious Potentate said:
It’s not a slam dunk.

If Bama and UGA are both 12-0 entering the SECCG, both are in regardless. If Clemson goes 12-1, their loss will be better than Oregon’s and they’ll get the benefit of the doubt, and then you have Oklahoma.
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Don't be so sure. Committee has stated that conference championships are given weight. A 1-loss non-champ has never gotten in over a 1-loss CCG winner.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
I mean if they lost to Utah in late November they are likely not making the playoff. Regardless of who the teams they are put up with for a spot. Same way it went when Ohio State lost to Purdue/Iowa.
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It really depends on what other teams do and how they lose. A big reason Ohio State got left out was because they lost by 4 TDs or more in those games. If they lost by 3, it could have been a different conversation.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
The "good" thing about losing this early in the season is that its pretty much forgotten if you can cruise through the rest of the season without losing.

Another team losing in late October or sometime in November is much fresher in peoples minds.
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Yep. IIRC your bucknuts lost the 2nd week of the 2014 season...also in the Horseshoe. And that turned out okay for 'em didn't it?
 
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