The path is there

[ralphiewvu]

Baylor and Okie State are both ranked ahead of Oregon. They aren't jumping either of them. ND is ranked 6th, they aren't jumping them, as ND isn't playing. Georgia is in if they don't even show up. So no chance of jumping them. Bama is at 4, a loss to the #1 team in the nation isn't dropping them below Oregon.
That doesn't even include UM having a much better resume even if they lost or Cincy having just as good of a win and a much better loss than either of Oregon's.

So again -- there is ZERO CHANCE for oregon to get in. Every team could lose and Oregon STILL have zero chance. Why? We've went thru this already. See Stanford and Utah losses being worse than any single loss any other team has.

UM or Cincy is not getting in if they lose. Stop pretending that bullshits happening. You have also stated ND doesn’t get in without Cincy. So theoretically they are out if Cincy is. Georgia is the only guarantee right now. That leaves 3 spots for 3 conference champs or 2 and bama.

Oregon absolutely has a chance, it’s not good or likely but they have a shot.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

A conference championship.

Neat, Michigan would have the same record while not having a conference championship but having a more recent loss. LOL at that Ohio State excuse.

Penn state (a 7 win team) and Wisconsin (an 8 win team) are not better wins then Ohio State (a 10 win team). just stop with this delusional line of thinking.

Oregon is currently ranked 10th in both polls that were released. I would be more then arguing for wake or Pitt if ether was 10. But they aren’t, Oregon is. You are pretending Oregon with a win wouldn’t jump any of those teams if they lose which is beyond pathetic.

Thank fucking God you aren’t on the play-off committee. The only teams that can lose their conference championship and still make it in are from the SEC. That’s the only guarantee you should be making.

OD -- are you slow? Who did Michigan just beat, more convincingly than Oregon, 2 days ago? I will give you a hint, it is 10 win Ohio State. The PSU and Wisconsin were the other wins better than any other win Oregon has.

The only other ranked team Oregon played was.......Utah. How did that fair? But you think a "conference championship" is going to somehow make them jump teams with the same record? Never happening.

 

[ralphiewvu]

OD -- are you slow? Who did Michigan just beat, more convincingly than Oregon, 2 days ago? I will give you a hint, it is 10 win Ohio State. The PSU and Wisconsin were the other wins better than any other win Oregon has.

The only other ranked team Oregon played was.......Utah. How did that fair? But you think a "conference championship" is going to somehow make them jump teams with the same record? Never happening.

It’s funny watching you new Michigan fan put a time limit on when good wins or losses count for Oregon then suddenly ignore it when the scenario playing out has a loss for Michigan. That’s a more recent loss. Spare me your bullshit that 7 win offensively challenged PSU which Michigan needed a miracle to defeat is a good win.

A conference championship isn’t going to hurt Oregon’s chances. And again any team outside the SEC that loses their conference champ game is out. Stop pretending that is a lie and the better off you’ll be.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

It’s funny watching you new Michigan fan put a time limit on when good wins or losses count for Oregon then suddenly ignore it when the scenario playing out has a loss for Michigan. That’s a more recent loss. Spare me your bullshit that 7 win offensively challenged PSU which Michigan needed a miracle to defeat is a good win.

A conference championship isn’t going to hurt Oregon’s chances. And again any team outside the SEC that loses their conference champ game is out. Stop pretending that is a lie and the better off you’ll be.

I agree, any team who loses their conference championship game is out, outside of Bama. It is yet another reason why Oregon has ZERO shot of getting in, because they have NO SHOT to be ranked ahead of UM, by beating Utah and UM losing to Iowa. None.
UM played a MUCH TOUGHER schedule, has the same "big win" to go with 2 more wins over top 25 teams, which Oregon doesn't have and their 2 losses wouldn't be by 31 and to a team who won 3 games.

So in closing -- you are right. No team other than Bama is getting into the CFP if they lose their conference game, but there is also zero chance of Oregon being ranked ahead of UM -- THUS, neither gets in.

And if you think Oregon gets in over UM with the same record because they beat Utah to get to the same record as UM -- I can't help you. There is a reason they don't give auto bids. This year is EXACTLY why. PAC doesn't have a deserving team. ACC doesn't have a deserving team.

 

[ralphiewvu]

I agree, any team who loses their conference championship game is out, outside of Bama. It is yet another reason why Oregon has ZERO shot of getting in, because they have NO SHOT to be ranked ahead of UM, by beating Utah and UM losing to Iowa. None.
UM played a MUCH TOUGHER schedule, has the same "big win" to go with 2 more wins over top 25 teams, which Oregon doesn't have and their 2 losses wouldn't be by 31 and to a team who won 3 games.

So in closing -- you are right. No team other than Bama is getting into the CFP if they lose their conference game, but there is also zero chance of Oregon being ranked ahead of UM -- THUS, neither gets in.

And if you think Oregon gets in over UM with the same record because they beat Utah to get to the same record as UM -- I can't help you. There is a reason they don't give auto bids. This year is EXACTLY why. PAC doesn't have a deserving team. ACC doesn't have a deserving team.

Bullshit, if Michigan lays an egg against Iowa and Oregon wins, Oregon potentially could jump Michigan. Stop saying no shot. Michigan would have a more recent loss and no conference champ trophy. Oregon is likely 10 tomorrow it is not impossible for them to move in front teams that lose that are a head of them save Georgia.

It is what it is, we’ll never agree. We can leave it at that

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

Bullshit, if Michigan lays an egg against Iowa and Oregon wins, Oregon potentially could jump Michigan. Stop saying no shot. Michigan would have a more recent loss and no conference champ trophy. Oregon is likely 10 tomorrow it is not impossible for them to move in front teams that lose that are a head of them save Georgia.

It is what it is, we’ll never agree. We can leave it at that

There is NO SHOT Oregon jumps Michigan. UM has a more convincing top win against OSU with Henderson at RB and a full year of experience at QB. They curb stomped Washington, while Oregon struggled. Those are the two common opponents. And -- the big and..........they don't have a bad loss. Oregon has 2 of them, with one of them being about as bad as you can get.

ZERO CHANCE. You have as much of a shot putting together a team of your buddies and asking to be in the CFP as Oregon has of getting a bid as one of the top 4 teams.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

Bullshit, if Michigan lays an egg against Iowa and Oregon wins, Oregon potentially could jump Michigan. Stop saying no shot. Michigan would have a more recent loss and no conference champ trophy. Oregon is likely 10 tomorrow it is not impossible for them to move in front teams that lose that are a head of them save Georgia.

It is what it is, we’ll never agree. We can leave it at that

Tell me which teams they are going to move ahead of and then why, beating 3 loss Utah would have them jump those teams?

 

[ralphiewvu]

There is NO SHOT Oregon jumps Michigan. UM has a more convincing top win against OSU with Henderson at RB and a full year of experience at QB. They curb stomped Washington, while Oregon struggled. Those are the two common opponents. And -- the big and..........they don't have a bad loss. Oregon has 2 of them, with one of them being about as bad as you can get.

ZERO CHANCE. You have as much of a shot putting together a team of your buddies and asking to be in the CFP as Oregon has of getting a bid as one of the top 4 teams.

Again making the excuse OSU (on the road) then wasn’t good enough but OSU now (at home) is better. lolz Oregon potentially could. Not saying they will or it’s likely but they could. Oregon wins they could move in Front of everyone who loses save Georgia

Oregon still has a shot. It’s not a good shot or likely but it’s still a shot. So my buddies and I don’t have the same shot as Oregon.

We won’t agree, ok?

 

[ralphiewvu]

Tell me which teams they are going to move ahead of and then why, beating 3 loss Utah would have them jump those teams?

It’s a conference championship with a less recent loss. You are crazy if you don’t think Oregon(with a win) would definitely jump Junior, Cincy (if they lose) and Ole Miss. Michigan and Bama maybe maybe not but saying no chance is false.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

It’s a conference championship with a less recent loss. You are crazy if you don’t think Oregon(with a win) would definitely jump Junior, Cincy (if they lose) and Ole Miss. Michigan and Bama maybe maybe not but saying no chance is false.

So here you are -- you are on the committee, tell me how you convince the committee members, that Oregon has been the better team in 2021 over Alabama and Michigan with the same record, you can add in Cincy too, as they'd have a better record and the PAC was essentially a G5 conference this year anyways.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

Again making the excuse OSU (on the road) then wasn’t good enough but OSU now (at home) is better. lolz Oregon potentially could. Not saying they will or it’s likely but they could. Oregon wins they could move in Front of everyone who loses save Georgia

Oregon still has a shot. It’s not a good shot or likely but it’s still a shot. So my buddies and I don’t have the same shot as Oregon.

We won’t agree, ok?

You are right, we won't agree, because i have a better shot at winning the lottery than Oregon does getting into the CFP and I don't even play the lottery.

 

[ralphiewvu]

So here you are -- you are on the committee, tell me how you convince the committee members, that Oregon has been the better team in 2021 over Alabama and Michigan with the same record, you can add in Cincy too, as they'd have a better record and the PAC was essentially a G5 conference this year anyways.

Oregon would have a conference championship and a less recent loss then both Alabama and Michigan. Remember you said you agreed no conference champ loser would make the playoff. Cincy is the same but a G5 without the conference title. And according to you without Cincy there is no ND. So Who would they put in?They putting in Ohio State or Ole Miss (lol)?????? This is exactly why I’m stating Oregon has a chance. Because they do.

 

[ralphiewvu]

You are right, we won't agree, because i have a better shot at winning the lottery than Oregon does getting into the CFP and I don't even play the lottery.

Then you wouldn’t have a better shot you would have the same shot. Unfortunately that’s not true as if you dont play the lottery you have no shot while Oregon has a small chance which would be a better shot then winning the lottery while not playing the lottery.

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

Oregon would have a conference championship and a less recent loss then both Alabama and Michigan. Remember you said you agreed no conference champ loser would make the playoff. Cincy is the same but a G5 without the conference title. And according to you without Cincy there is no ND. So Who would they put in?They putting in Ohio State or Ole Miss (lol)?????? This is exactly why I’m stating Oregon has a chance. Because they do.

The conference title means NOTHING. It is about putting in the 4 best teams on the year. Not the teams who won the cripple fight in the PAC and ACC.

IF it came down to two teams being comparable -- THEN a conference title would put them over the top. That is why they have a committee and do not give out auto bids, because you will have years where conferences like the PAC and ACC are no better than G5 conferences. AHEM, like THIS YEAR. Both conferences are absolute train wrecks.

I'm thinking you do not understand how the committee and CFP works.

 

[ralphiewvu]

The conference title means NOTHING. It is about putting in the 4 best teams on the year. Not the teams who won the cripple fight in the PAC and ACC.

IF it came down to two teams being comparable -- THEN a conference title would put them over the top. That is why they have a committee and do not give out auto bids, because you will have years where conferences like the PAC and ACC are no better than G5 conferences. AHEM, like THIS YEAR. Both conferences are absolute train wrecks.

I'm thinking you do not understand how the committee and CFP works.

Spare me that 4 best team BS. Who the fuck decides that? What’s the criteria?

Look where they are, look what’s in front of them. If teams lose while they win they move up while those teams will move down. It’s common fucking sense.

You can think whatever you want, you are the one not understanding how its not impossible for a number 10 ranked team to win and move into the top 4 while teams in front of them lose.

 

[Collegefbfan]

I can't add much more to this scenario business.

Georgia wins or loses, they are in. Its their first loss and to an already double digit win team.

Alabama loses to the #1 team in the country, they might drop to #4 if its a close game. Even if it ain't close. I could see the CFP ranking Bama #2 this Tuesday night just to be safe. This way, they can just drop them to #4 with a loss.

I really think Oklahoma State or Baylor makes it in with a win. Baylor will be around #8 come Tuesday night. Okie State will be #5 maybe. One of these has to win and will be in, so they really aren't gonna have to pass Oregon if the Ducks are #10 Tuesday night.

Cincy loses. One loss. Done. Even though Notre Dame doesn't play, they could still move up. Didn't Alabama and Ohio State go to the playoffs without winning their conference or even their division one season? I know ND doesn't have a conference, but they will be watching just the same as Bama and Ohio State did those seasons (can't remember exactly).

 

[droider]

I have spent since Saturday night analyzing and figuring out the potential path for the Oregon Ducks to make the College Football Playoffs and I have found one. I don't understand why no one on the big sports stage is talking about this potential path given it could certainly add to the hype and coverage of the PAC-12 Championship game on Friday night.

But all that needs to happen is the following and it isn't that absurd to see any of this happening. Currently Oregon is #10.

Georgia beats Alabama
Iowa beats Michigan
Houston beats Cincinnati
Oregon beats Utah

That happens and the 2 loss PAC-12 champ Oregon is in. They would certainly jump any of the 2 loss non conference championship teams. Georgia is favored over alabama, so that isn't a shock. Houston is #16 so them beating Cincy is a real possibility and the big upset here would be Iowa over Michigan, but it's possible as Iowa has looked good this year.

Why is no one talking about this possibility? It isn't far fetched, if the above outcomes happen, I dont know who would get that 4th and final spot, if it wasn't Oregon.

not sure if you're aware, but your head coach is one of the biggest losers in CFB history

i mean, get a load of these facts....

he actually went 27-47 at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL!!!

LMFAO who in the hell actually does something that??

i mean, he didn't even achieve this horrific record at Florida, Florida State, or The Directional Florida Community College of Orlando...

but FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL!!!

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA

guy wasn't even qualified to pick lettuce or mow lawns at that point...

so who in the hell would actually then hire him to be the head coach at a supposed "big time program like Oregon"?..

jesus fucking christ man that's bad!

i don't know what to LMFAO at first... ?

1. Oregon and the phrase "big time program" being used in the same sentence...

2. Oregon actually hiring a FIU reject even after failing miserably with that anorexic pussy Mark Helfrich and then that lifetime loser Willie Taggart...

3. Oregon football's forever empty trophy case...

OR

4. just Oregon football in general


BUAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHHAHAHAAHHAHAHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHA

ah well, time for another costume change!!!

 

[NewPhoneWhoDis]

Spare me that 4 best team BS. Who the fuck decides that? What’s the criteria?

Look where they are, look what’s in front of them. If teams lose while they win they move up while those teams will move down. It’s common fucking sense.

You can think whatever you want, you are the one not understanding how its not impossible for a number 10 ranked team to win and move into the top 4 while teams in front of them lose.

Instead of calling them the #10 team -- call them the team who has a loss by 31 and a loss to a 3-8 team. Also throw in there, the team they are playing in the ever important conference championship game against a 3 loss Utah team.

Maybe that will help understand why they have ZERO chance to get into the top 4.

 

[Peter Gozintite]

Ye' though @OregonDucks walks through the valley of death, he shall fear no evil.

 

[ralphiewvu]

Instead of calling them the #10 team -- call them the team who has a loss by 31 and a loss to a 3-8 team. Also throw in there, the team they are playing in the ever important conference championship game against a 3 loss Utah team.

Maybe that will help understand why they have ZERO chance to get into the top 4.

What I called them is fact. We don’t call Michigan the 1 loss barely escaped 5 win Rutgers Wolverines do we?

Continue to pretend a 10th ranked team can’t move up to the top 4 ranking when teams in front of them lose.