The path is there

Yes @Blackshirts BLVD im an OD ”burner account.” lolololol

But new Michigan fan @NewPhoneWhoDis has been kind enough to agree to wear the avy for me as he has no avy. Give him your best :beer2:
 
Wizardhawk said:
Choo Choo Vintage GIF by US National Archives
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by any chance, might that locomotive be headed towards...scenario village??
 
ralphiewvu said:
You seem to think bad losses is the only thing that matters, none have as bad a loss. See how I answered your question. Nor does anyone have as good a win. Neither is the only thing that matters though. You can continue to look dumb thinking anyone outside the SEC is getting into the playoffs if they lose their conference champ game. Anything else?
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You mean against OSU, who didn't start Tre'veon Henderson (I don't think he even played) and it was the 2nd start ever for Stroud, before OSU made wholesale changes on defense? That win? Cincy has a more impressive win over ND right now. Michigan has a more impressive win over OSU. Notre Dame beat the same Stanford team Oregon lost to by 40 points.

It is why I CONTINUE to bring up the losses. As every team, sans Cincy, has played a WAY tougher schedule than Oregon. The PAC is a T.R.A.I.N.W.R.E.C.K. Yet Oregon still struggled with many of the bad teams in the PAC.

And while beating OSU is a big deal, losing by 31 to anyone is a bigger deal. Losing to Stanford is absolutely unacceptable and removes all chance of getting to the CFP.
 
ralphiewvu said:
You seem to think bad losses is the only thing that matters, none have as bad a loss As Oregon does. See how I answered your question. Nor does anyone have as good a win. Neither is the only thing that matters though. You can continue to look dumb thinking anyone outside the SEC is getting into the playoffs if they lose their conference champ game. Anything else?
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Oregon has TWO losses worse than anyone else in the field. I just don’t see any way the committee would get past that.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
You mean against OSU, who didn't start Tre'veon Henderson (I don't think he even played) and it was the 2nd start ever for Stroud, before OSU made wholesale changes on defense? That win? Cincy has a more impressive win over ND right now. Michigan has a more impressive win over OSU. Notre Dame beat the same Stanford team Oregon lost to by 40 points.

It is why I CONTINUE to bring up the losses. As every team, sans Cincy, has played a WAY tougher schedule than Oregon. The PAC is a T.R.A.I.N.W.R.E.C.K. Yet Oregon still struggled with many of the bad teams in the PAC.

And while beating OSU is a big deal, losing by 31 to anyone is a bigger deal. Losing to Stanford is absolutely unacceptable and removes all chance of getting to the CFP.
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They still went to the shoe and fucking won. Stop trying to take that away. And it’s fucking laughable you are calling beating ND better then beating Ohio state.

They aren’t putting in the loser of the conference champ games unless it’s from the SEC. it doesn’t matter how much you want to cite 3-9 Stanford or a 31 point loss to utah.

Oregon still has a chance to get in the playoffs, it’s not very good nor is it likely but it’s still a chance. But continue to think otherwise.
 
williewilliejuan said:
Oregon has TWO losses worse than anyone else in the field. I just don’t see any way the committee would get past that.
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The Scenario I gave gives them a conference championship while 4 in front of them take a loss. I can see them with a chance. Again the chances aren’t good nor is it very likely but it’s still better then 0% however small it maybe.
 
williewilliejuan said:
Oregon has TWO losses worse than anyone else in the field. I just don’t see any way the committee would get past that.
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And one of those losses is very recent. The end of season rankings seem to be a very "what have you done for me lately" type thing on close decisions.

Oregon's beatdown @ Utah is way fresher in the minds than their week 2 win over Ohio State.
 
ralphiewvu said:
The Scenario I gave gives them a conference championship while 4 in front of them take a loss. I can see them with a chance. Again the chances aren’t good nor is it very likely but it’s still better then 0% however small it maybe.
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If the scenario played out as described, I think the Committee would go into “all bets are off mode” and just pick the teams that would give the best ratings. I just don’t see that as a team that lost to an awful Stanford team and got boatraced by the Mormon Tabernacle Choir.
 
ralphiewvu said:
They still went to the shoe and fucking won. Stop trying to take that away. And it’s fucking laughable you are calling beating ND better then beating Ohio state.

They aren’t putting in the loser of the conference champ games unless it’s from the SEC. it doesn’t matter how much you want to cite 3-9 Stanford or a 31 point loss to utah.

Oregon still has a chance to get in the playoffs, it’s not very good nor is it likely but it’s still a chance. But continue to think otherwise.
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When the "championship" game is against 3 loss Utah -- the team they lost by 31 to two weeks ago. Yes, it has little meaning. When beating 3 loss Utah would only get you to the same amount of wins as all the other 2 loss teams -- yes, the "championship" has little meaning.

Michigan could lose and still have a WAAAAAAY better resume than Oregon. They both played Washington and Ohio State. Oregon struggled with Washington. Michigan absolutely hammered Washington, rushing for 350 yards and winning by 3+ scores. Oregon beat OSU, minus Henderson and Stroud starting only his 2nd game. UM beat OSU with Stroud having a full year of experience and with Henderson, while rushing for 300 yards.

Michigan also beat Penn State and Wisconsin, both better wins than any win that Oregon has. Tell me how the committee says Oregon is the better team? Because they get to play in the PAC? Using that logic -- Pitt or Wake Forest should get in over 2 loss Bama or 2 loss Michigan. If Pitt wins, they will have one common opponent with Michigan. Western Michigan. Pitt lost to Western Michigan, Michigan beat WMU by 40. But they'd have a conference title.

The CFP is about putting in the 4 best teams. In absolutely no scenario, when you take the year, as a whole, would Oregon fall into the top 4 category. None. Cincy could lose to Houston and I'd put Cincy in over Oregon. It'd be a better loss than any either loss Oregon had as long as they didn't lose by 4+ tds.
 
williewilliejuan said:
If the scenario played out as described, I think the Committee would go into “all bets are off mode” and just pick the teams that would give the best ratings. I just don’t see that as a team that lost to an awful Stanford team and got boatraced by the Mormon Tabernacle Choir.
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It is exactly why the committee doesn't give out auto bids. This EXACT scenario. When the PAC is Oregon/Utah, the Big 12 is Okie State/Baylor, the ACC is Wake/Pitt and the B1G is Michigan/Iowa. The only conference to hold serve with the top teams is the SEC with Georgia/Bama.

If I weren't a UM, I wouldn't be excited to watch any of the games, other than the SEC.
 
williewilliejuan said:
If the scenario played out as described, I think the Committee would go into “all bets are off mode” and just pick the teams that would give the best ratings. I just don’t see that as a team that lost to an awful Stanford team and got boatraced by the Mormon Tabernacle Choir.
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Teams that give the Best ratings? Well Then Cincy, Junior/Baylor or even Iowa are out. And its the two SEC teams, Michigan and ND. I don’t see that happening but anything is possible. Just as Oregons chances are not likely but possible. That’s all I’m arguing.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
It is exactly why the committee doesn't give out auto bids. This EXACT scenario. When the PAC is Oregon/Utah, the Big 12 is Okie State/Baylor, the ACC is Wake/Pitt and the B1G is Michigan/Iowa. The only conference to hold serve with the top teams is the SEC with Georgia/Bama.

If I weren't a UM, I wouldn't be excited to watch any of the games, other than the SEC.
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I think Okie Light/Baylor will be a good game. The others (aside from GA/Bama) don’t interest me much
 
williewilliejuan said:
I think Okie Light/Baylor will be a good game. The others (aside from GA/Bama) don’t interest me much
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I'd rather watch paint dry than to watch a rematch of Oregon/Utah or Pitt/Wake Forest. Talk about brutal games for conference championship.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
I'd rather watch paint dry than to watch a rematch of Oregon/Utah or Pitt/Wake Forest. Talk about brutal games for conference championship.
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I think Oregon/Utah has some entertainment value if it plays out like the last one. The meltdown on here will be epic.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
When the "championship" game is against 3 loss Utah -- the team they lost by 31 to two weeks ago. Yes, it has little meaning. When beating 3 loss Utah would only get you to the same amount of wins as all the other 2 loss teams -- yes, the "championship" has little meaning.

Michigan could lose and still have a WAAAAAAY better resume than Oregon. They both played Washington and Ohio State. Oregon struggled with Washington. Michigan absolutely hammered Washington, rushing for 350 yards and winning by 3+ scores. Oregon beat OSU, minus Henderson and Stroud starting only his 2nd game. UM beat OSU with Stroud having a full year of experience and with Henderson, while rushing for 300 yards.

Michigan also beat Penn State and Wisconsin, both better wins than any win that Oregon has. Tell me how the committee says Oregon is the better team? Because they get to play in the PAC? Using that logic -- Pitt or Wake Forest should get in over 2 loss Bama or 2 loss Michigan. If Pitt wins, they will have one common opponent with Michigan. Western Michigan. Pitt lost to Western Michigan, Michigan beat WMU by 40. But they'd have a conference title.

The CFP is about putting in the 4 best teams. In absolutely no scenario, when you take the year, as a whole, would Oregon fall into the top 4 category. None. Cincy could lose to Houston and I'd put Cincy in over Oregon. It'd be a better loss than any either loss Oregon had as long as they didn't lose by 4+ tds.
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A conference championship.

Neat, Michigan would have the same record while not having a conference championship but having a more recent loss. LOL at that Ohio State excuse.

Penn state (a 7 win team) and Wisconsin (an 8 win team) are not better wins then Ohio State (a 10 win team). just stop with this delusional line of thinking.

Oregon is currently ranked 10th in both polls that were released. I would be more then arguing for wake or Pitt if ether was 10. But they aren’t, Oregon is. You are pretending Oregon with a win wouldn’t jump any of those teams if they lose which is beyond pathetic.

Thank fucking God you aren’t on the play-off committee. The only teams that can lose their conference championship and still make it in are from the SEC. That’s the only guarantee you should be making.
 
OregonDucks said:
I have spent since Saturday night analyzing and figuring out the potential path for the Oregon Ducks to make the College Football Playoffs and I have found one. I don't understand why no one on the big sports stage is talking about this potential path given it could certainly add to the hype and coverage of the PAC-12 Championship game on Friday night.

But all that needs to happen is the following and it isn't that absurd to see any of this happening. Currently Oregon is #10.

Georgia beats Alabama
Iowa beats Michigan
Houston beats Cincinnati
Oregon beats Utah

That happens and the 2 loss PAC-12 champ Oregon is in. They would certainly jump any of the 2 loss non conference championship teams. Georgia is favored over alabama, so that isn't a shock. Houston is #16 so them beating Cincy is a real possibility and the big upset here would be Iowa over Michigan, but it's possible as Iowa has looked good this year.

Why is no one talking about this possibility? It isn't far fetched, if the above outcomes happen, I dont know who would get that 4th and final spot, if it wasn't Oregon.
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Worst Scenario Village ever...
 
ralphiewvu said:
A conference championship.

Neat, Michigan would have the same record while not having a conference championship but having a more recent loss. LOL at that Ohio State excuse.

Penn state (a 7 win team) and Wisconsin (an 8 win team) are not better wins then Ohio State (a 10 win team). just stop with this delusional line of thinking.

Oregon is currently ranked 10th in both polls that were released. I would be more then arguing for wake or Pitt if ether was 10. But they aren’t, Oregon is. You are pretending Oregon with a win wouldn’t jump any of those teams if they lose which is beyond pathetic.

Thank fucking God you aren’t on the play-off committee. The only teams that can lose their conference championship and still make it in are from the SEC. That’s the only guarantee you should be making.
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Baylor and Okie State are both ranked ahead of Oregon. They aren't jumping either of them. ND is ranked 6th, they aren't jumping them, as ND isn't playing. Georgia is in if they don't even show up. So no chance of jumping them. Bama is at 4, a loss to the #1 team in the nation isn't dropping them below Oregon.
That doesn't even include UM having a much better resume even if they lost or Cincy having just as good of a win and a much better loss than either of Oregon's.

So again -- there is ZERO CHANCE for oregon to get in. Every team could lose and Oregon STILL have zero chance. Why? We've went thru this already. See Stanford and Utah losses being worse than any single loss any other team has.
 
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