The path is there

Yall are really overthinking this

Its not that tough

UGA in
ND in
Bama in with close loss/ out with blowout loss

After that its

Baylor
Iowa
Oregon

For 1 or 2 spots depending on if Bama is in or out

Lots of arguing for something that has like a 5% shot to happen lol
 
osubuckeye89 said:
Lol you really want them to take a deep eye test at Oregon?

Theyd also see

Scraping by Fresno State at home 31-24
Surviving at home 24-17 to a 4 win Cal team (needed a 4th down stop to seal it)
Hanging on 34-31 to beat a meh 8-4 UCLA team
Sluggish mess against a completely out of whack Washington team.

and then you get the losses to a terrible Stanford team (lol @ claiming the refs cost the game) and the beatdown by Utah

Outside of a WEEK 2 win against Ohio State theres nothing really appealing to the eye about Oregon
Click to expand...

Them uniforms sho are purdy.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
If Iowa beats UM -- it gives Iowa a better win than Oregon and they would have a MUCH BETTER conference championship title.
So yeah -- Iowa has a better shot than Oregon too even though both are 0
Click to expand...
Iowa will have better losses too.
 
Blackshirts BLVD said:
Iowa will have better losses too.
Click to expand...
Every team ahead of Oregon will have better losses. If Oregon was playing Bama, Georgia, Michigan, one of the top teams. They definitely could jump a bunch of teams. Beating a 3 loss Utah does little for them as they already played them
 
osubuckeye89 said:
If Oregon beats them they wont be top 15 anymore. and have 4 losses.
Click to expand...

So if Oregon beats them, it will hurt Oregon's strength of schedule.

Oregon should probably lose then. That way, their strength of schedule would get them in. :biggrin:
 
Blackshirts BLVD said:
Iowa will have better losses too.
Click to expand...
Oregon needs everything in the OP plus they need the UGA win over Bama to be a huge blowout. Then theyd need the committee to bypass resume and instead use eye test to somehow put Oregon in over Iowa at 4 despite Oregon struggling just as frequently as Iowa

The blowout for UGA is key though. A tight Bama loss gets us a rematch in the playoff semis. Committee wont do that if the first game isnt at all close
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
Every team ahead of Oregon will have better losses. If Oregon was playing Bama, Georgia, Michigan, one of the top teams. They definitely could jump a bunch of teams. Beating a 3 loss Utah does little for them as they already played them
Click to expand...
It's true and the committee knows that beating the same team twice in the same year is difficult, rematches favor the team that lost the first game. Beating Utah after they demolished you in the regular season is hardly a feat, especially with that 3-9 loss hanging on your shoulder.
 
Blackshirts BLVD said:
It's true and the committee knows that beating the same team twice in the same year is difficult, rematches favor the team that lost the first game. Beating Utah after they demolished you in the regular season is hardly a feat, especially with that 3-9 loss hanging on your shoulder.
Click to expand...

Unless Oregon absolutely demolished Utah them beating them really isnt going to mean much to anyone.
 
Let's look at this from a different perspective. We feel and are told the CFP will choose the 4 best teams. Look at what is being stated in these posts. And I ain't just pointing out Oregon. SOME PEOPLE ARE SAYING THEIR TEAM IS ONE OF THE FOUR BEST TEAMS IF:
+++Georgia beats the hell out of Alabama. Wait a minute. This makes Oregon or any other team a top 4 team? Wait, did Georgia or Bama play Oregon or some other team? Name another team in the top 6 or 8 that lost to the #1 team in the country.
+++Michigan loses to Iowa. Same as above. This Michigan loss makes this other team (your team) a top 4 team? Who else is playing against this high ranked opponent as Iowa? Not the PAC 12, not the ACC. Maybe the BIG XII.
+++Baylor beats Oklahoma State in an ugly game. So, hold on. Two other teams have to play ugly to make your team (anyone's team) look like a top 4 team.

How about this? The team (anyone's team) wants a to look like a top 4 team, be considered to be a top 4 team, then that team needs to take care of that. On the other hand, if you want to judge your team being a top 4 team based on what the outcomes of these top ranked teams losing this weekend. Well, if Bama gets destroyed, they can still say we didn't lose a team with a below 0.500 record or lose by 30-40 to a 3 or 4 loss team. Michigan can say that, Oklahoma State can say that.
 
So Oregon is now ranked 10th in the CFP. Their odds of making the CFP play now exceed 50% if there are upsets this weekend.

The game in Vegas vs Utah is enormous
 
projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2021 College Football Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com


Run the numbers. Georgia wins, Michigan loses, Cincy loses, Ok State loses and Oregon wins and the Ducks have a 55% chance of making the playoffs. Add in that the committee openly is against ND going to the playoffs without a coach and Oregon's chances are looking better and better.
 
OregonDucks said:
So Oregon is now ranked 10th in the CFP. Their odds of making the CFP play now exceed 50% if there are upsets this weekend.

The game in Vegas vs Utah is enormous
Click to expand...

While I think you have a chance. That chance probably doesn’t go past 5% even if all the upset happen as needed.
 
OregonDucks said:
Oregon would have a better resume than Baylor and Iowa. Iowa didn't have to play some of the Big Ten's hardest teams. Baylor comes from the Big 12, besides Oklahoma who is there? Okie State is a nice story but they aren't fooling anyone in being a serious top 6 team.

Oregon would have wins @Ohio State and a revenge win vs Utah that puts them as a conference champion. I dont see how the committee could leave out a 2 loss conference champion who is well within a ranking position to jump into the 4th or 5th spot of the rankings and put in a 2 loss non conference champion who would have just loss to the very team they'd have to play in game 1 of the playoff.

If Alabama loses to Georgia and gets into the playoffs that means we see Georgia vs Alabama again in a month because Bama would be 4 and Georgia would be 1. Unless the committee does something stupid and to avoid such a thing moves alabama up to 3 after their loss to avoid a immediate rematch. Didnt they do this a couple years ago? Made a team that should've been #1 the #2 team to avoid an immediate rematch.
Click to expand...
So… you think they’d drop Baylor, who’s already ranked ahead of oregon, below oregon, after beating the #5 team? And why do you think that? You think beating #17, who already beat you, magically makes your resume more impressive than the team they already determined has a more impressive resume beats #5?

Explain yourself numbnuts.
 
OregonDucks said:
projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2021 College Football Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com


Run the numbers. Georgia wins, Michigan loses, Cincy loses, Ok State loses and Oregon wins and the Ducks have a 55% chance of making the playoffs. Add in that the committee openly is against ND going to the playoffs without a coach and Oregon's chances are looking better and better.
Click to expand...
That site also had it as a something like 80% chance Hillary would be President so lol as using that as your source
 
ralphiewvu said:
While I think you have a chance. That chance probably doesn’t go past 5% even if all the upset happen as needed.
Click to expand...
I think Oregons chances are only slightly better than Lloyd Christmas being with Mary Swanson

Ill Be Back Jim Carrey GIF
 
TheDayMan said:
So… you think they’d drop Baylor, who’s already ranked ahead of oregon, below oregon, after beating the #5 team? And why do you think that? You think beating #17, who already beat you, magically makes your resume more impressive than the team they already determined has a more impressive resume beats #5?

Explain yourself numbnuts.
Click to expand...

St Patricks Day Rainbow GIF by TipsyElves.com
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top