CFP v DEC3

Hitman Hart said:
yep. committee chair's comment means that SMU/Clemson will be swapped out if Clemson wins. there isn't a scenario where the committee will take both.
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It also means if Boise State loses their rematch with UNLV, Boise is out
 
Mistaken4193 said:
So basically..

Clemson wins …SMU gets last At-Large spot

SMU wins…Alabama gets last At-Large spot.

LETS GOOOO MUSTANGS!!!
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If Clemson wins, SMU drops to 17th or something.
 
Hu War Yu said:
If Clemson wins, SMU drops to 17th or something.
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Yeah, I can see this. If SMU loses this game, they won't have a ranked win. Their best win is Duke I guess. The only possible way is if SMU loses by less than 7 points, but then it is highly doubtful. My son and I were sitting here talking about the rankings after he got off work. South Carolina beats Clemson at Clemson, and the Gamecocks move up... one spot.
 
Hitman Hart said:
yep. committee chair's comment means that SMU/Clemson will be swapped out if Clemson wins. there isn't a scenario where the committee will take both.

i get it to an extent. Bama easily has the best win of all the bubble teams. but they also have the two worst losses. that's fine as long as that's a consistent rule.
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I've been saying this for a while. We'll see if and how much, the committee punishes a team for playing in and losing their CCG when others are sitting home. If Oregon, they'll still host a first round game. If Texas loses, they'll still host a first round game. If SMU loses, they are out. If Boise loses, they are out. They ain't pushing Indiana or Bama down. They'll move up.
 
I was listening to a podcast today from two or three guys I just found by accident. They stated how this playoff predictor is a TOTAL JOKE. Where do these numbers come from? Because there is a group of 13 people deciding on what they "want" to happen, "feel should" happen, and/or what "should not" happen. It isn't like the NFL where you know who is in the playoff for sure, who has a chance at the wild card if X, Y, Z happens. Back to college football, the committee decides what happens. If SMU loses in a 31-24 score to Clemson, the committee decides if that is close enough. If that ain't close enough, does an SMU loss of 27-24 get SMU in? I know it can depend on what other teams do, but why show us these crazy percentages in a predictor if a committee has the final say. Does this predictor factor in a QB getting injured? Clemson wins 28-27, but SMU's QB goes down with a significant leg injury halfway through the 4th quarter, no way SMU makes it in.
 
Collegefbfan said:
I was listening to a podcast today from two or three guys I just found by accident. They stated how this playoff predictor is a TOTAL JOKE. Where do these numbers come from? Because there is a group of 13 people deciding on what they "want" to happen, "feel should" happen, and/or what "should not" happen. It isn't like the NFL where you know who is in the playoff for sure, who has a chance at the wild card if X, Y, Z happens. Back to college football, the committee decides what happens. If SMU loses in a 31-24 score to Clemson, the committee decides if that is close enough. If that ain't close enough, does an SMU loss of 27-24 get SMU in? I know it can depend on what other teams do, but why show us these crazy percentages in a predictor if a committee has the final say. Does this predictor factor in a QB getting injured? Clemson wins 28-27, but SMU's QB goes down with a significant leg injury halfway through the 4th quarter, no way SMU makes it in.
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The CFP committee just makes up the “criteria” as they go to fit what they want that’s obviously been true and it’s never gonna change
 
Deep Creek said:
I've been saying this for a while. We'll see if and how much, the committee punishes a team for playing in and losing their CCG when others are sitting home. If Oregon, they'll still host a first round game. If Texas loses, they'll still host a first round game. If SMU loses, they are out. If Boise loses, they are out. They ain't pushing Indiana or Bama down. They'll move up.
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Yep, Oregon, Georgia, Penn State and Texas are all still going to be in the top 8 no matter who wins or loses those games. Ohio State can move up a spot or two but best they can be seeded is 6th. Notre Dame is going to be the 5.
 
Deep Creek said:
I've been saying this for a while. We'll see if and how much, the committee punishes a team for playing in and losing their CCG when others are sitting home. If Oregon, they'll still host a first round game. If Texas loses, they'll still host a first round game. If SMU loses, they are out. If Boise loses, they are out. They ain't pushing Indiana or Bama down. They'll move up.
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This is the part I am most curious about. I hope some things don't go chalk just to see what happens.
 
SoonerC said:
Really the only drama is going to be whether Miami or Alabama gets tossed for the Big 12 champ.
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That's done ... Bama is in with an SMU win, likely out with a Clemson win. Miami is out. The Committee said that the teams not playing were stuck in the order they were in.
 
I’m still a little baffled as to how Notre Dame is worthy of a top 5 ranking.

They beat 8 win A&M and 8 win Louisville. Good teams I suppose but…
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
That's done ... Bama is in with an SMU win, likely out with a Clemson win. Miami is out. The Committee said that the teams not playing were stuck in the order they were in.
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We will see how that holds up lol. In the end they are gonna do whatever they want come actual selection time.
 
CoalTrain said:
I’m still a little baffled as to how Notre Dame is worthy of a top 5 ranking.

They beat 8 win A&M and 8 win Louisville. Good teams I suppose but…
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Nobody is that great and nobody really has that great of a overall resume, that’s why.
 
Numbers 15, 16, 17 and/or 20 can be rewarded with a CFP bid by playing in their CCG. And two of those three could be rewarded with a first round bye. UNLV probably won't. Or would they jump UNLV over Clemson and the Az State/Iowa State winner?
 
Deep Creek said:
Numbers 15, 16, 17 and/or 20 can be rewarded with a CFP bid by playing in their CCG. And two of those three could be rewarded with a first round bye. UNLV probably won't. Or would they jump UNLV over Clemson and the Az State/Iowa State winner?
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I’m gonna say UNLV has a 0% chance at a BYE
 
WhosYourDawggy said:
That's done ... Bama is in with an SMU win, likely out with a Clemson win. Miami is out. The Committee said that the teams not playing were stuck in the order they were in.
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But the reward for some playing in their CCG could be rewarded by not being stuck.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
I’m gonna say UNLV has a 0% chance at a BYE
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If you think about it, the whole concept of guaranteed byes for the highest ranked conference champions is nuts to begin with. That should be reserved for the teams considered the best four IMO. But supposedly, they want the CFP to be inclusive...........sort of.
 
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