Crazy, bitch ass weather

Kburjr said:
Starting another warm streak. Starting Saturday, at least 6 days in a row in the 90s. 5-10 degrees above average. Piece of cake.
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We are showing some mid 80s for for the next 10 days, but it is the mid 50s at night that is nice
 
High today.... 101
High next Thursday??? 72

Excited Ric Flair GIF
 
huskers1217 said:
so boston might get it. it will weaken by then
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They should feel some effects from it (winds and surf), but the GFS keeps Lee's COC off the coast.

If there's a landfall it's likely Nova Scotia.

Frankie McDonald's probably ordering pizzas and buying cases of Pepsi and Coke about now.

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Red_Alert said:
Tuesday Sept 12th

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Wednesday Sept 13th

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Thursday Sept 14th

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Kburjr said:
What's the latest landfall prediction?
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I got another day (Friday Sept 15th) added to the surface maps I posted yesterday.
No changes in that the Trough is still modeled to be in place and protect the US east coast from landfall.

If the Trough verifies and there's a landfall, it would be Nova Scotia or Newfoundland.

Those semi-circles off the coast of North Carolina/Virginia is Lee on it's northerly track.

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There is currently a strong ridge of High Pressure (not shown) in the central and northern Atlantic. That is what's keeping Lee on it's current WNW track. That High expected to weaken come Tuesday 12th or Wednesday 13th. That's when we can expect Lee to take a northerly turn and ride between said US Trough and the High Pressure. Basically like a bowling lane with the kiddie bumpers up.
If the trough verifies, the more that High Pressure weakens will allow Lee to take a NNE to NE recurve. The timing and weakening of that High Pressure will determine whether there's landfall in Nova Scotia/Newfoundland.

The entire US East Coast will feel effects from Lee in the form of waves, surge, and riptides. There are going to be idiots out there wanting to get in that rough water to surf or whatever. :rip:
 
The H is the High Pressure I referred to that is keeping Lee on it's WNW track. It's expected to weaken (Tue/Wed) giving Lee it's lane to turn north and eventually northeast.

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Lee has spent the day battling SAL and 20-25 kts of SW windshear.
NHC expects those conditions to continue for the next 12-24 hrs.

The latest recon flight found a ragged eye with max surface winds of 109 mph which is Cat 2.

Basically from a Tropical Storm to a Cat 5 in less than 24 hours. Then from a Cat 5 down to a Cat 2 in 12 hours.

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There is enough kinetic energy there that it should rejuvenate once it gets back to favorable conditions.

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