2022 College Football Playoff Discussion Thread

Yeah, it does have to play out, and it will be well worth watching and following. A few things that are entering my brain as we discuss this here:
1) This is a major one. They can talk all they want to about the first week loss Oregon had to Georgia. But, hey, wait a minute. Wasn't that Georgia's first game also? Does the "it was the first game" excuse only work for the losing team to benefit them? If this is gonna benefit Oregon, does it discount what Georgia did?
2) Tennessee has 2 top 25 wins and 4 top 50 wins at the moment, and SOS is 19th. Oregon has 1 top 25 win and 3 top 50 wins, and SOS is 49th. All this according to Colley. I am not saying his stuff is the gospel.
3) Tennessee has played a one win Akron team, and the rest of the teams they played are above 0.500. Oregon has played one win Colorado, and the rest of the teams Oregon played, three are way below 0.500.
4) Going forward, Tennessee doesn't really play any team that moves the needle (as of now). Oregon has teams coming up that are a combined 20-7. A lot can happen with these outcomes to help or hurt Tennessee and Oregon.
 
It’s gonna suck when lsu wins it all
 
ELTEXAN said:
It’s gonna suck when lsu wins it all
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I want to see mass chaos. This is going to be one of the last year's we get to see it. So I hope every conference has conference champs with multiple losses. It'd be hilarious.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
If we are calling 8-4 and 7-5 teams quality wins

Then we should give Oregon the same credit for hypothetically beating Washington, Oregon State & Wazzu since they will likely fall into that category in the end.

But we all know those teams will just get shut down as "crappy Pac 12 teams"
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8-4 is a quality win. 7-5 is iffy, depends on who the 7 wins are again.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
I want to see mass chaos. This is going to be one of the last year's we get to see it. So I hope every conference has conference champs with multiple losses. It'd be hilarious.
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B1G is going to have an undefeated champion. The SEC probably will as well. The ACC may be toast. So the only two that can have chaos is the PAC 12 and Big 12 which will probably eliminate both.
 
I'm going to preface this before I say it. Since I'm a West Texan, I've always been a fan of Spike & Sonny Dykes for obvious reasons. (Just like I was a Hayden Fry and Grant Teaff fan.) That said, I don't understand the committee's mentality. The TCU team isn't any different this Tuesday than they were last Tuesday. They beat a 3-5 Texas Tech team at home and had to come from behind to do it. That makes them better? I ain't knocking Tech but if anything, that should drop TCU instead of elevating them.

I know, I know, other teams ahead of them stumbled but I don't buy it. TCU is still the same quality of football team as they were last week. Likewise, why did they drop Tennessee so far? Did they get worse in one week just because they lost to a damn good Georgia team in Athens? They're really still the same team they were last week as well.

We need 12 teams. It would be great if we had it now.
 
osubuckeye89 said:
I still wouldn't be shocked if LSU flopped and lost to Arkansas or A&M. I know both of them suck but LSU just seems like the type of team that could be vulnerable to a upset.

How does the tie breaker work in a 3 way tie if Bama Ole Miss and LSU all finish with 2 SEC losses?
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LSU has head to head over both. They'd have to lose two more at this point
 
Deep Creek said:
B1G is going to have an undefeated champion. The SEC probably will as well. The ACC may be toast. So the only two that can have chaos is the PAC 12 and Big 12 which will probably eliminate both.
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To be honest, the ACC should be out. Period. And this is coming from a guy deep in ACC country. Five teams are below 0.500 overall. This includes ACC losses to Old Dominion, MTSU, Connecticut, giving up almost 50 points in one quarter to App State, and I might be forgetting a couple others. Even if Clemson comes out with one loss and beats (I guess UNC) in the ACC champs game. This does not make them one of the 4 best. Have you seen them play?
 
Deep Creek said:
I'm going to preface this before I say it. Since I'm a West Texan, I've always been a fan of Spike & Sonny Dykes for obvious reasons. (Just like I was a Hayden Fry and Grant Teaff fan.) That said, I don't understand the committee's mentality. The TCU team isn't any different this Tuesday than they were last Tuesday. They beat a 3-5 Texas Tech team at home and had to come from behind to do it. That makes them better? I ain't knocking Tech but if anything, that should drop TCU instead of elevating them.

I know, I know, other teams ahead of them stumbled but I don't buy it. TCU is still the same quality of football team as they were last week. Likewise, why did they drop Tennessee so far? Did they get worse in one week just because they lost to a damn good Georgia team in Athens? They're really still the same team they were last week as well.

We need 12 teams. It would be great if we had it now.
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And this bullshit about TCU having to come from behind to win games. Didn't Ohio State have to come from behind to beat a bad Northwestern team? Didn't Michigan have to come from behind to beat Rutgers? Didn't Clemson have to come from behind to beat Syracuse (in relation to week 1 CFP rankings)?
 
Deep Creek said:
B1G is going to have an undefeated champion. The SEC probably will as well. The ACC may be toast. So the only two that can have chaos is the PAC 12 and Big 12 which will probably eliminate both.
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I know, but it would be fun if say LSU beats Georgia and throw a dart at the B1G West standings to pick a team to go to the B1G CCG to face UM or OSU, but it'd be funny if they won.

Go look at the B1G West standings -- I can't imagine there is a conference worse than that in the CFP this year.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
I know, but it would be fun if say LSU beats Georgia and throw a dart at the B1G West standings to pick a team to go to the B1G CCG to face UM or OSU, but it'd be funny if they won.

Go look at the B1G West standings -- I can't imagine there is a conference worse than that in the CFP this year.
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ACC Coastal says, "Hold my beer".
 
Collegefbfan said:
And this bullshit about TCU having to come from behind to win games. Didn't Ohio State have to come from behind to beat a bad Northwestern team? Didn't Michigan have to come from behind to beat Rutgers? Didn't Clemson have to come from behind to beat Syracuse (in relation to week 1 CFP rankings)?
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TCU has been trailing in the 4th quarter of 4 games, including a couple where it was double digit deficits. I agree -- a team will have an off game now and then or in the B1G, you may have a game where weather changes everything, be it snow, rain or high winds.

Having it happens once, no one will blink twice. Having it happen twice and people will start whispering about it. When you've done it 3 and 4 games -- it is an issue. Massive props to TCU for having a clean record still, but if they were to face Georgia right now -- the spread would be probably be 3+ TD's.
 
Everyone on here is overreacting lol.

For one, there are a lot of Oregon and Tennessee debates. If TCU loses, there is room for BOTH Oregon and Tennessee if Oregon wins out.
Also several teams in contention are going to lose between now and the final week.
 
Collegefbfan said:
ACC Coastal says, "Hold my beer".
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Illinois leads the B1G West. They just lost to Michigan State, who was playing with 8 players suspended. They still have a 1 game lead at 4-2. Iowa, Purdue, Wisconsin, Minnesota are all 3-3. Then you have Northwestern and Nebraska.

I'm not familiar with the Coastal, but I know North Carolina is part of it. Not sure who else?
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
TCU has been trailing in the 4th quarter of 4 games, including a couple where it was double digit deficits. I agree -- a team will have an off game now and then or in the B1G, you may have a game where weather changes everything, be it snow, rain or high winds.

Having it happens once, no one will blink twice. Having it happen twice and people will start whispering about it. When you've done it 3 and 4 games -- it is an issue. Massive props to TCU for having a clean record still, but if they were to face Georgia right now -- the spread would be probably be 3+ TD's.
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I 100% agree. Some of these come from behind games were to ranked teams (maybe at the time). As far as TCU facing Georgia, I predict something like UGA 45 TCU 20.
 
Volbound1700 said:
Everyone on here is overreacting lol.

For one, there are a lot of Oregon and Tennessee debates. If TCU loses, there is room for BOTH Oregon and Tennessee if Oregon wins out.
Also several teams in contention are going to lose between now and the final week.
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F Tennessee and Oregon. I hope you both lose -- that way Michigan can get in whether they win or lose against OSU. I hope TCU loses. I hope everyone loses, but Georgia. Please beat LSU to knock them out of the CFP convo too.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
Illinois leads the B1G West. They just lost to Michigan State, who was playing with 8 players suspended. They still have a 1 game lead at 4-2. Iowa, Purdue, Wisconsin, Minnesota are all 3-3. Then you have Northwestern and Nebraska.

I'm not familiar with the Coastal, but I know North Carolina is part of it. Not sure who else?
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Miami who lost to MTSU. Virginia Tech who lost to Old Dominion. I mean, shit, even Duke is 6-3.
 
Collegefbfan said:
To be honest, the ACC should be out. Period. And this is coming from a guy deep in ACC country. Five teams are below 0.500 overall. This includes ACC losses to Old Dominion, MTSU, Connecticut, giving up almost 50 points in one quarter to App State, and I might be forgetting a couple others. Even if Clemson comes out with one loss and beats (I guess UNC) in the ACC champs game. This does not make them one of the 4 best. Have you seen them play?
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Yeah, the ACC ain't too swift this year. But I'm not so sure some of the rest of them are either. That's why I'm looking forward to 12. Let's let 'em in and play it off on the field.

Let's take teams 4-7. I think TCU, Tennessee and Oregon's would fare pretty well against Ohio State and Michigan. But we've already seen how well Tennessee and Oregon did against Georgia. I think TCU would fare about the same. In fact, I'd say teams 2-10 are really all about the same.
 
NewPhoneWhoDis said:
TCU has been trailing in the 4th quarter of 4 games, including a couple where it was double digit deficits. I agree -- a team will have an off game now and then or in the B1G, you may have a game where weather changes everything, be it snow, rain or high winds.

Having it happens once, no one will blink twice. Having it happen twice and people will start whispering about it. When you've done it 3 and 4 games -- it is an issue. Massive props to TCU for having a clean record still, but if they were to face Georgia right now -- the spread would be probably be 3+ TD's.
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True, but Like I alluded to above, I don't think it would be much of a spread with TCU versus Michigan, Tennessee or even LSU. From what I've seen out of TCU's pass defense, they'd struggle with Ohio State and Tennessee more than Michigan or Georgia. Which is why I think Ewers will have a field day against them Saturday night and eliminate TCU from the debate.
 
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